Could this not be an opportunity? Maybe a private sponsor could set up the
On Tue, 29 Jul 2003, Robin Hanson wrote:
> That sure looks like the likely outcome. We never really got a chance to
> correct misconceptions about the project. (For example, it was never
> intended to forecast specific terrorist attacks, but only overall
> trends.) They didn't want to hear.
> At 01:10 PM 7/29/2003 -0400, [EMAIL PROTECTED]:
> >More likely than not they'll say nothing and the story will quietly go
> >away... conveniently relieving people like reporters and senators from the
> >need to admit they spoke out about something they didn't have much, if
> >any, comprehension of.
> > > All of the criticism seems based on the betting on events, not on the
> > > use of conditional markets for developing policy. Wonder what they'll say
> > > when they figure that bit out....
> > >
> > > > FYI, our DARPA project (www.policyanalysismarket.com) has just been
> > denounced
> > > > by two senators:
> > http://wyden.senate.gov/media/2003/07282003_terrormarket.html
> Robin Hanson [EMAIL PROTECTED] http://hanson.gmu.edu
> Assistant Professor of Economics, George Mason University
> MSN 1D3, Carow Hall, Fairfax VA 22030-4444
> 703-993-2326 FAX: 703-993-2323