-Caveat Lector-

The Washington Times - February 28, 2001

   Immigration paradox - by Helle Bering

        Those who complain that no great issues ignite the passions of
   Americans the way ideology did during the Cold War struggle between
   East and West, need not fear that we are running out of things to
   fight about. The difference is that today's heated debates tend to
   focus on problems closer to home, more likely to have a direct
impact
   on personal lives than a higher theoretical or philosophical
   dimension. Consider the issue of abortion, literally a life and
death
   question, which echoes with religious undertones. Or free trade,
which
   splits both Republicans and Democrats right down the middle and
   arouses the fierce antagonisms of the ludite anti-WTO crowd.

        Or consider the issue of immigration. Now, there's a topic to
   start the fur flying in all directions. It all depends on whether
you
   believe we about to become an "alien nation" as Peter Brimmelow
put it
   starkly or whether you believe this country's destiny and path to
   greatness lies in keeping the door open to the world's "poor and
   huddled masses."

        President George W. Bush in his first official foreign trip,
   paying a neighborly visit to Mexican President Vicente Fox, waded
   briskly into this thorny thicket. Under discussion were proposals
to
   expand the visa program for temporary workers, the "H" visa
category
   which currently is geared towards highly skilled labor, to include
   unskilled temporary workers in the agricultural sector as well. For
   his part, Mr. Fox is pressing the United States to agree to another
   sweeping amnesty of Mexicans living illegally in this country, and
has
   said that immigration is his Number One priority.

        As governor of Texas, Mr. Bush acquired a better
understanding of
   the human and economic costs associated with illegal immigration
than
   most American would have. Texas has 27 border points with Mexico,
more
   than California, Arizona and New Mexico put together and obviously
   more opportunities for illegal crossings. These are the front line
   states in the losing battle against illegal immigration. Making
Latin
   America a foreign policy priority makes a great deal of sense, as
Mr.
   Bush said as early as last August in a foreign policy
address. "Weak
   neighbors export problems. Environmental problems, illegal
   immigration, even crime, drugs and violence. Strong neighbors
export
   their goods, and buy ours creating jobs and good will." And he
added
   significantly, "This can be the century of the Americas."

         Additionally, Mr. Bush has good domestic political reasons
for
   grappling with immigration. In the last presidential election, the
   Republican Party worked hard to change its image with minority
voters,
   with only limited success. The Republican Convention showcased
   minorities of all kinds, but Hispanics particularly could be
pleased.
   One of the stars of the convention was George P. Bush, nephew of
the
   president and son of the Florida governor, who addressed the
audience
   in fluent Spanish. Hispanics will soon overtake blacks as the
largest
   ethnic minority group. Strongly influenced by Catholic values and
   strong families, Hispanics are a natural Republican constinuency.
In
   the November election, however, the fact that the Republican
Congress
   the month before declined to grant the amnesty for several Latin
   American immigrant groups sought by the Clinton White House
undercut
   expectations of large Republican gains. Mr. Bush is now trying to
   reach these voters again. All of which makes good demographic
   political tactics.

         Unfortunately, it is almost impossible for Republicans to do
so,
   without alienating another constituency, a more traditionally one,
the
   social and Christian conservatives who tend to take a dim view of
the
   inevitable cultural changes large scale immigration entails. While
the
   GOP hungered for the White House, they remained quiet, but their
   attendance at the polls was significantly down. As may be gathered,
   both these constituencies hold a passionate view of the issue of
   immigration.

        It is clear, however, that with some 8.5 million Mexican
   immigrants living in this country, and about 3 million of them
   illegally, an orderly and legal process is preferable to one that
is
   neither process nor legal. In this, Mr. Bush is absolutely right.
   However, if resurrecting a temporary vise program is the answer,
and
   it may be, it ought to be combined with internal enforcement
efforts
   by the Immigration and Naturalization Service, something that has
been
   all but abandoned by now. Once people have crossed the border
   regions, they vanish into the general population without a trace.
Many
   probably hope for an amnesty eventually, like the amnesty of 1986
the
   third only in the entire history of the United States. In that
amnesty
   2.7 million illegal Mexicans, the largest group to benefit,
received
   legal residence status, only to be replaced by millions of other
   illegals a decade later. The idea of amnesty becomes an attraction
in
   and of itself.

        Mr. Bush may have to square the circle to solve this one. It
is
   to his credit however that he dares take on the problem at such an
   early stage of his presidency. One thing is certain, cooperation
with
   Mexico is a key to any solution, and by his neighborliness with Mr.
   Fox, Mr. Bush seems to have made a good start.

   Helle Bering is editorial page editor of The Washington Times. Her
   column appears on Wednesdays.

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