In message: <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> Zefram <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> writes: : Steve Allen wrote: : >http://www.ucolick.org/~sla/leapsecs/torino/arias_3.pdf : : This is the really interesting one. They present the accuracy of : simulated predictions of UT1, and that accuracy is much poorer than : the figures we've been discussing so far. But they make it clear that : the prediction is by a naive algorithm, not even applying the well-known : periodic terms that are used in UT2. This is obviously not the algorithm : used by IERS.
The good news is that even an incredibly stupid (in terms of knowledge used) algorithm can predict almost 3 years out.... Warner