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[Pen-l] more of the same...

Jim Devine
Tue, 31 Aug 2010 10:34:20 -0700

New York TIMES / August 31, 2010

For Many, a New Job Means Lower Wages, Studies Find
By MICHAEL LUO

After being out of work for more than a year, Donna Ings, 47, finally
landed a job in February as a home health aide, earning about $10 an
hour, with a company in Lexington, Mass.

Chelsea Nelson, 21, started two weeks ago as a waitress at a truck
stop in Mountainburg, Ark., making around $7 or $8 an hour, depending
on tips, ending a lengthy job search that took her young family to
California and back.

Both are ostensibly economic success stories, people who were able to
find work in a difficult labor market. Ms. Ing’s employer, Home
Instead Senior Care, a company with franchises across the country, has
been aggressively expanding. Ms. Nelson’s restaurant, Silver Bridge
Truck Stop, recently reopened and hired about 20 people last month in
an area thirsty for jobs.

Both women, however, took large pay cuts from their old jobs — Ms. Ing
worked in the office of a wholesale tuxedo distributor; Ms. Nelson
used to be a secretary. And both remain worried about how they will
make ends meet in the long run.

With the country focused on job growth and unemployment continuing to
hover above 9 percent, there has been comparatively little attention
paid to the quality of the jobs being created in this still-struggling
economy and what that might say about the opportunities that will be
available to workers when the tumult of the Great Recession finally
settles. There are reasons, however, for concern, even in the early
stages of a tentative recovery that now appears to be barely wheezing
along.

For years, long before the recession began, job growth had become
increasingly polarized in this country, with high-paid occupations
that demand significant amounts of education and training growing
rapidly, alongside low-wage, entry-level, service-type jobs that do
not require much schooling or special skills, according to David
Autor, a labor economist at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology.

The growth of these low-wage jobs began in the 1980s, accelerated in
the 1990s and began to really take off in the 2000s. Losing out in the
shuffle, according to Dr. Autor, are jobs that he describes as
“middle-skill, middle-wage” — entry-level white-collar positions, like
office and administrative support work, as well as certain blue-collar
jobs, like assembly line workers and machine operators.

The recession appears to have magnified that trend, according to Dr.
Autor in a recent paper, released jointly by the Center for American
Progress, a left-leaning [!!] policy group, and the Hamilton Project,
which has a more centrist reputation. From 2007 to 2009, the paper
found, there was relatively little net change in total employment for
both high-skill and low-skill occupations, while employment plummeted
in so-called middle-skill occupations.

A new analysis by the National Employment Law Project, a liberal
advocacy group, takes a different approach, identifying industries
that have actually experienced job growth in 2010 and examining their
median wages. It is a blunter measurement because it focuses on
industries, within which there is often great diversity in income.
Economists also cautioned that it was still too early to know exactly
which sectors would eventually lead the way in a sustained recovery.

Nevertheless, the law project analysis offers a snapshot of where the
employment growth has been so far. It found job expansion to this
point has been skewed toward industries with median wages that are low
to middling, with a disproportionate share of job growth happening in
industries whose median wages fall below $15 an hour.

“There’s a striking contrast so far between which industries have lost
jobs and which ones are growing,” said Annette Bernhardt, policy
director for the law project. “If this kind of bottom-heavy job
creation continues, it could pose a real challenge to restoring
consumer demand and making sure working families have a way to support
themselves.”

Both studies are disquieting because of the potential import for many
who had once scratched out middle-class livings and are now looking
for work. A unifying theme is the stubborn march of labor-intensive,
low-paying service jobs, like the ones Ms. Ings and Ms. Nelson found.

There is typically a downward slide during recessions, said Till von
Wachter, a Columbia University economist, in which higher-skilled and
higher-educated workers are re-employed first, often landing jobs for
which they are overqualified, squeezing out the lesser skilled and
lesser educated. Indeed, in the current downturn, the unemployment
rate has climbed the most for the least-educated workers, suggesting
they have been hit the hardest.

However, while researching workers who lost their jobs in California
in the 1990s, Dr. Wachter found that people who fall in the middle
when it comes to their educational background — possessing high school
degrees or some college — and the skills required for their occupation
tended to experience larger and longer lasting income losses after job
loss than people on both the lower and higher end of the scale.

Ms. Ings had worked in a variety of office and administrative roles in
the wholesale tuxedo industry. Her wages of just over $16 an hour were
enough to build a relatively comfortable life for her and her
daughter, Jillian, now 21 and in college.

“During her whole growing up, I never got child support,” Ms. Ings
said. “I always had to try to find a job that paid well to help
support her. That’s my job, being a mother.”

When Ms. Ings was laid off in March 2009, she dove into finding
another “corporate job.” But she found that nearly everyone seemed to
be looking for people with at least a college degree, if not more. She
had only a high school diploma.

As a teenager, she had worked in a nursing home and enjoyed it. So,
after getting her certified nursing assistant license, she applied at
the Home Instead office in Lexington, which has been steadily hiring
this year, said Jack Cross, the franchise owner. Nationally, the
company has created more than 2,400 jobs this year, and home health
aides are one of the country’s fastest growing occupations.
Ms. Ings adores her job, but her finances remain taut, even though she
is working 50 hours a week. She had been without health insurance for
her first few months, but soon the company will begin deducting for it
— a further pinch on her already meager paycheck.
“I’m going to be coming home with nothing,” she said.

In Arkansas, Ms. Nelson has been hampered by her decision to quit
college after a semester several years ago. She has worked a variety
of jobs, including a three year stint as a secretary, earning about
$12 an hour.

Last year, she and her husband, Kenneth, and their son, Riley, now
almost 2, moved to Colton, Calif., where they had relatives and
believed the job market would be better. They moved back to Arkansas
this year, however, after struggling to find steady work.

He quickly accepted a factory job at $8 an hour, but she got rejection
after rejection trying to find office work.

She eventually gave up and took up waitressing. The couple is living
with her mother, trying to save enough for their own place.
“I don’t know, with the jobs we have, if we’re ever going to be able
to make it on our own,” Ms. Nelson said.
-- 
Jim Devine / "Segui il tuo corso, e lascia dir le genti." (Go your own
way and let people talk.) -- Karl, paraphrasing Dante.
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