Yes vikas,
Agree with you as we are dealing with multiple variables in addition
to people , animals also cross the road and series of pot whole.
However timeframe might be faster.
Thanks and regards
Asif


On 12/7/21, Vikas Kapoor <dl.vi...@gmail.com> wrote:
> It might take nearly 5 years to develop this technology, but will certainly
> take 50 to 500 years for India to make the favourable conditions to enable
> us to operate such technology.
>
> -----Original Message-----
> From: accessindia@accessindia.org.in <accessindia@accessindia.org.in> On
> Behalf Of Vetrivel Murugan Adhimoolam
> Sent: Tuesday, December 7, 2021 2:22 PM
> To: AccessIndia: a list for discussing accessibility and issues concerning
> the disabled. <accessindia@accessindia.org.in>
> Subject: [AI] Fwd: Driverless Cars
>
> This is indeed good news for the visually impaired.
> How wonderful it will be if a visually impaired person can own their own
> driverless car and be driven around in it and not have to depend on someone
> to do it.
> This technology is advancing so rapidly that one can expect  that within the
> next five years many people especially the visually impairedwill be using
> these cars routinely.
>
> Driverless Cars
> Waymo is already offering driverless taxi service in San Francisco,
> California, and Pheonix, Arizona (Credit: Alamy) By Jenny Cusack 29th
> November 2021 Self-driving vehicles are steadily becoming a reality despite
> the many hurdles still to be overcome – and they could change our world in
> some unexpected ways.
> It's a late night in the Metro area of Phoenix, Arizona. Under the
> artificial glare of street lamps, a car can be seen slowly approaching.
> Active sensors on the vehicle radiate a low hum. A green and blue 'W' glows
> from the windscreen, giving off just enough light to see inside – to a
> completely empty driver seat.
>
> The wheel navigates the curb steadily, parking as an arrival notification
> pings on the phone of the person waiting for it. When they open the door to
> climb inside, a voice greets them over the vehicle's sound system. "Good
> evening, this car is all yours – with no one upfront," it says.
>
> This is a Waymo One robotaxi, hailed just 10 minutes ago using an app. The
> open use of this service to the public, slowly expanding across the US, is
> one of the many developments signalling that driverless technology is truly
> becoming a part of our lives.
>
> The promise of driverless technology has long been enticing. It has the
> potential to transform our experience of commuting and long journeys, take
> people out of high-risk working environments and streamline our industries.
> It's key to helping us build the cities of the future, where our reliance
> and relationship with cars are redefined – lowering carbon emissions and
> paving the way for more sustainable ways of living. And it could make our
> travel safer. "We want safer roads and less fatalities. Automation
> ultimately could provide that," says Camilla Fowler, head of automated
> transport for the UK's Transport Research Laboratory (TRL).
> The ultimate vision experts are working towards is of completely driverless
> vehicles, both within industry, wider transport networks, and personal-use
> cars, that can be deployed and used anywhere and everywhere around the
> world.
>
> Mcity puts driverless cars through their paces in an environment that mimics
> a real city, complete with crossing pedestrians (Credit: Jeff
> Kowalsky/AFP/Getty Images) Mcity puts driverless cars through their paces in
> an environment that mimics a real city, complete with crossing pedestrians
> (Credit: Jeff Kowalsky/AFP/Getty Images) At the Mcity Test Facility at the
> University of Michigan, experts are addressing this. The world's first
> purpose-built testing ground for autonomous vehicles, it's a mini-town of
> sorts, made up of 16 acres of road and traffic infrastructure. It includes
> traffic signals and signs, underpasses, building facades, tree cover, home
> and garage exterior for testing delivery and ride-hailing, and different
> terrains such as road, pedestrian walkways, railway tracks, and
> road-markings which the vehicles must navigate. It's here that experts test
> scenarios that even the most experienced of drivers may be pressed to
> handle, from children playing in the street to two cars trying to merge on a
> junction at the same time.
>
> CHANGE AGENTS
> We know the world has to change for humanity to thrive. But what are the
> most promising solutions that could provide the kind of transformation we
> need? In a world adjusting to the recent global pandemic, Change Agents
> examines innovations and technologies that could make our planet a better,
> healthier place to live.
>
> "We're trying to bring people from different parts of the university – not
> only engineers, but we have people from across disciplines such as
> psychology, more human-machine-interaction type people, because there are
> lots of angles to this problem we are trying to solve when it comes to
> safety," says Ozay. In the facility, Ozay and her team can test different
> traffic scenarios, as well as explore how autonomous vehicles communicate
> with each other yet keep vehicle and personal data secure from hackers.
>
> That self-driving taxis are already on the roads in Phoenix, Arizona, is due
> to a prolonged testing process like the one Ozay's team is conducting.
> Currently only available as a test service to the public in small defined
> areas, in the next two years there are plans to release the taxis on a
> greater and wider scale. For example, US-based company Waymo is currently
> rolling out to new city test sites that could very realistically see
> robotaxis operational in San Francisco and New York by 2023. But their
> co-chief executive Tekedra Mawakana was cautious to say what further roll
> out of its service there might be, and where, because "safety takes time".
>
> AutoX, a start-up funded by Alibaba, launched its fully driverless RoboTaxi
> in Shanghai, China in 2020. By 2023 it's likely their service will be
> available in other cities across China, as well as in California.
>
> Much of the driverless technology already in use exists in industrial
> settings like mines, warehouses, and ports, but Hynd believes in the next
> two years we can expect to see this extended to "last mile delivery". This
> means the final part of a journey for goods and services – the point at
> which they are delivered to the consumer. For example, autonomous HGV trucks
> on motorways or even delivery vehicles for products and groceries.
>
> One new space we can expect to see driverless technology deployed in is
> high-risk environments, from nuclear plants to military settings, to limit
> the dangers to human life, says Fowler. A Rio Tinto mine in Western
> Australia, for example, is currently operating the largest autonomous fleet
> in the world. The trucks are controlled by a centralised system miles away
> in Perth.
>
> "If you can take people out of that and you can have vehicles that are
> driving themselves, and are fully automated even, if you've got somebody
> who's remotely needing to control that vehicle in that high-risk environment
> then that's got to be good," says Fowler.
>
> In the next five years most driverless technology will remain behind the
> scenes. TRL is investigating the potential for driverless HGVs on motorways,
> including the idea of platooning vehicles. Platoons are a group of
> semi-autonomous vehicles that drive a close distance between each other,
> stopping other vehicles from separating them. By driving closer together,
> vehicles in a platoon can be more fuel efficient by taking advantage of the
> slipstream of the truck in front while also helping to reduce congestion as
> the lorries take up less overall space on the road. Also in this space is
> Plus, the first self-driving truck manufacturer, whose European pilots
> commenced this year after a successful trial on Wufengshan highway in
> China's Yangtze Delta economic centre.
>
> You might also like:
>
> The internet behemoth you've never heard of The technology to end traffic
> jams How Google's balloons surprised their creators Away from these
> industries, Ozay further predicts that "we will possibly see lighter robotic
> vehicles that can potentially use sidewalks and bike paths with limited
> speeds – for delivering things such as food and groceries."
>
> When it comes to public transport, Oxbotica is also working with
> German-based vehicle systems specialist ZF over the next five years to make
> the driverless shuttle a true mainstay for European cities, operating on
> roads, as well as at airports, much in the same way buses do now. "The
> shuttles in airports we see today on rails won't need those rails in five
> years from now. This means driverless shuttles have the potential to
> transport you from the car park to the airport, then straight through to
> your gate and the plane," Jinks explains.
>
> My hope is that cars will be smart enough to say 'yes' or 'no' when asked if
> they can reliably and safely get a non-driver from point A to point B on a
> given day – Necmiye Ozay For users, this could mean more reliable and
> cost-efficient transport systems. "Interlinking autonomous transport systems
> to bring a public transport system that is as efficient as you jumping in
> your own car and driving it yourself has got to be the answer to congestion
> in the future,"
> adds Jinks.
>
>
> Some of this thinking is already taking place. In 2018, IKEA developed a
> concept autonomous vehicle that can double up as meeting rooms, hotels, and
> stores. The impact this type of innovation would have is reduced requirement
> for travel in the first place, offering instead interchangeable, on-demand
> environments as and when we need them. Our needs could be met right where we
> are.
>
> Ozay expects many more self-driving options to be available for customers
> during this time, including in the passenger vehicle space. "My hope is that
> cars will be smart enough to say 'yes' or 'no' when asked if they can
> reliably and safely get a non-driver from point A to point B on a given day,
> by analysing the weather and traffic conditions beforehand," she explains.
>
> 10 years from now
>
> Despite all the developments and innovations the next decade is likely to
> hold, some experts still feel we might be a way off from full deployment of
> driverless vehicles. By 2031, "full-self driving – human-level or above, in
> all possible conditions, where you can put kids by themselves in the car to
> send them to arbitrary locations without worrying – is not something I
> expect to see," says Ozay.
>
> Once commuters can let their cars take over the driving completely, will it
> free them up for new kinds of productivity and activities? (Credit: Thomas
> Lohnes/AFP/Getty Images) Once commuters can let their cars take over the
> driving completely, will it free them up for new kinds of productivity and
> activities? (Credit: Thomas Lohnes/AFP/Getty Images)
>
> Hynd agrees that full automation is unlikely on this timescale. "With
> anything transport infrastructure, anything that society uses, so many other
> things need to come into play. And I don't just mean regulation," he says.
> Safety will be a major hurdle, especially for countries slower to adopt the
> change because of the huge costs involved. Infrastructure will also dictate
> how fast and effectively this technology can roll out, and public perception
> and willingness to use autonomous vehicles will need to increase according
> to Hynd.
>
> But not everyone agrees. Jinks is confident that we'll see autonomous
> vehicles on the roads at the same time as human-driven vehicles in 10 years
> from now. In this vein, you may very well be stepping onto a driverless
> shuttle at the airport, then into a self-driving taxi to take you to your
> final destination.
>
> Owning a driverless car in the next 10 years is less likely – it'll still be
> too expensive for most people, according to Hynd. But the promise of
> driverless technology is about unchaining us from our reliance on cars, and
> how that can transform the use of our time and our environment.
>
> "This is one of the biggest engineering problems that we're trying to solve
> in a century," Jinks says. "It will be an evolution over time from less
> complex environments and capabilities, to more complex, to everywhere. It's
> a continuum, and think about that continuum... It will keep improving over
> time. These things will continuously learn from each other."
>
> Much in the same way that electric charging stations have slowly entered car
> parks, side streets, and service stations, so too will autonomous vehicles
> eventually make their way into our everyday worlds. Years from now, we may
> well be wondering how we ever lived without them.
>
> --
>
>
>
> --
>
>
> Thanks and Regards,
>
> Vetri.
>
> --
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