Web’s doomsday is round the corner

IANS

Over 85% of the IP addresses are already allocated and the rest will run out by 
2011

LONDON: The digital doomsday is round the corner. In exactly 1,273 days there 
will be web chaos in the world as we run out of Internet addresses.

More than 85 per cent of the available addresses have already been allocated 
and the rest will run out by 2011, according to a prediction by the 
Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD).

These are not the normal web addresses that you type into your browser’s 
window. These are the numerical Internet Protocol (IP) addresses that denote 
individual devices connected to the Internet. They form the foundation for all 
online communications, from e-mail and web pages to voice chat and streaming 
video.

IP addresses are so basic to the success of the Internet that you really do not 
need to know a website’s domain name if you know their IP. In fact, domain 
names are only a convenience for people who have better luck remembering to 
type, say, www.google.com, than they would have trying to remember Google’sIP 
address of 216.239.39.99.

Whenever you type http://www.google.com into your browser, the browser sends a 
query off to a big telephone book in the sky and asks ‘Hey, what is the IP 
address for google.com?’ This big telephone book, more commonly called a 
‘Domain Name Server’ or DNS for short, returns 216.239.39.99 to your browser. 
Your browser then heads off to Google’s website using the IP address as a map.

When the current IP address scheme, called Internet Protocol Version 4 (Ipv4), 
was introduced in 1981, there were hardly 500 computers connected to the 
internet. The address makers at that time allowed for four billion addresses, 
thinking they would last forever. They have been nearly gobbled up in just 
under 30 years!

As addresses run dry we will all feel the pinch: internet speeds will drop and 
new connections and services (such as internet phone calling) will either be 
expensive or simply impossible to obtain.

The solution to the shortage is to upgrade to a new address protocol.

The Internet protocols are prepared by the Internet Engineering Task Force 
(IETF), a large open international community of network designers, operators, 
vendors, and researchers concerned with the evolution of the internet 
architecture and the smooth operation of the Internet.

The IETF is an organised activity of the Internet Society (ISOC), a 
not-for-profit organisation founded in 1992 to provide leadership in internet 
related standards, education and policy. The Society’s south and southeast 
Asian Bureau was established this January. The India chapter is headquartered 
in Chennai.

The IETF is already prepared for the doomsday. It has devised a replacement 
system, called IPv6, more than a decade ago, providing enough addresses for 
billions upon billions of devices as well as improving internet phone and video 
calls, and possibly even helping to end e-mail spam.

Then why the doomsday predictions? The problem is that the new system is not 
really compatible with the Internet of today. If, for example, Google wants to 
support IPv6, it will need to build a whole new IPv6 web service, complete with 
new domain names, servers and bandwidth. The costs run into billions.

The OECD notes that “immediate costs are associated with deployment of IPv6, 
whereas many benefits are long-term and depend on a critical mass adopting it”, 
according to The Sunday Times.

Until such time, start looking at the countdown clock for the doomsday at 
penrose.uk6x.com.


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