The Hindu News Update Service
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News Update Service
Thursday, July 17, 2008 : 1555 Hrs       

Sci. & Tech.
Slower slower, but the net's not safe yet 

GUARDIAN NEWS SERVICE 

By Charles Arthur in London 

GUARDIAN NEWS SERVICE: An unpatched PC running Windows XP will last on average 
between four and five minutes before it is attacked by a worm, according
to the latest update from the Sans Institute - which says that the "window" 
during which a machine is safe to download the necessary software updates from
Microsoft after, say, a system reinstallation "has shrunk over the past couple 
of years" (bit.ly/fdOaH). 

But in less discouraging news, researchers at McAfee's AvertLabs report that 
the exponential growth in the amount of unique malware such as worms and viruses
has stopped - to be replaced by a much slower, linear growth. 

"For years the security industry has been fighting an uphill battle, with the 
number of new samples increasing every month at an alarming rate," says Toralv
Dirro, one of the anti-malware team (bit.ly/2UVQZN). "Now with constant, though 
still massive, growth there is some light at the end of the tunnel. If
this trend keeps up, planning for future resources and technologies will become 
much easier and more manageable." 

However Thorsten Holz, one of the founders of the German Honeynet project 
(which aims to discover how prevalent malware is) reckons that survival times
are much longer for an unprotected machines - ranging from 10 minutes to 20 
days (bit.ly/2xoxUE). Even so, he adds: "The time is still short and you need
to patch a system before taking it online." 

That might seem like a catch-22, but the principal attacks are from 
longstanding worms that attempt to connect to open ports on a machine. 

The threat from existing malware to the millions of systems running Windows XP 
remains real, notes Lorna Hutcheson at the Sans Institute. "More than once,
I've dealt with a compromise of a system that was placed on the network before 
it was hardened. I got the same answer every time 'We needed it working
ASAP'." 

That problem will not go away, even if the growth in the amount of malware 
trying to break into a machine is slowing down, as McAfee reports in so-far 
unpublished
data. 

It says: "The growth is no longer exponential but linear, averaging around 
600,000 samples added each month. Looking at our own numbers of new samples,
I can confirm this new linear growth," says Dirro - who cautions that it only 
applies to code that is uniquely identified as different from any preceding
ones using a cryptographic hash. "Should we see more file-infecting viruses in 
the future, and there are some indications they will make a comeback, this
way of counting will quickly become useless." 

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