The Hindu : Sci-Tech : Technology predictions for 2010

Washington, December 26, 2009

DPAHAT'S IN STORE?: A customer delighted with the iMac at an Apple store. Watch 
out for the iTablet in 2010 - wireless wonder. Photo: AP
With solid product introductions ranging from the iPhone 3GS to Windows 7, 2009 
was a good year for technology.

2010 appears poised to build on the strength of trends already in place: 
greater mobility, a heightened awareness of data security, and web-enabled 
products and applications that focus on collaboration and interoperability. 
Here's a taste of what's in store.

Smartphones over netbooks

Netbook sales took off over the past few years, and for good reason: these 
tiny, light computers were tailor-made for the mobile user who increasingly 
performed most office-related activity online.

Netbooks provide some of the convenience and functionality of a full-fledged 
notebook while weighing less than half of even the lightest units and boasting 
battery life that can in some cases take you through an entire day without 
recharging.

But many netbook users quickly bump up against the limitations built in to this 
form factor. Screens are cramped, and processors are barely adequate for 
running Windows. In addition, a notebook computer - even if tiny and 
lightweight - is still a notebook computer, requiring you to stash it, and the 
inevitable accessories, in some bag that you have to carry around with you.

As smart phones get smarter and more capable, though, many are finding that 
they provide a reasonable - and in some cases even preferable - alternative to 
the netbook. Expect that trend to pick up steam in 2010. Surf the web on a 
smartphone? No problem. Send and receive e-mail? No problem? Put a smartphone 
in your pocket? Of course. Smartphones vs. netbook? Unless netbooks start 
offering much more, expect smartphones to get the nod in 2010.

Apple energises e-books

By now, no one underestimates Apple's ability to transform markets with 
innovative products. The iPod, iPhone, and MacBook are all trend-setters that 
come to represent the cream-of-the-crop in their respective segments and 
quickly inspire legions of imitators.

Apple's forthcoming tablet computer, rumoured to be called iTablet, appears 
destined to follow suit in 2010. Apple is expected to unveil the new device 
early in the year. Supposedly larger than an iPhone but smaller than a laptop, 
the thin iTablet can reportedly be used to read e-books, surf the web, play 
games, and even watch television - all wirelessly.

Apple has been working for some time with selected publishers to port their 
publications to the new device. When released, the iTablet could shake up not 
just the computer industry but the publishing industry as well.

Home servers make it home

It's not often that anyone accuses staid old Microsoft of being ahead of the 
technology curve, but in the case of its Windows Home Server (WHS) product, 
released a couple of years ago, that case could easily be made. Windows Home 
Server is designed to back up your home computers, stream music and video 
throughout your home, and provide an online gateway to your home computers so 
that you can access them - and their data - while you're on the road.

When WHS was first introduced, few saw the imperative of having such a device. 
Now though, with households regularly having multiple computers and the 
prospect of data loss being more critical than ever, a home server of some kind 
has become a necessity for many. In 2010, expect more people to realise that 
while the majority of their technology gets smaller and more portable, a data 
storage and backup box of some kind is a vital component of an increasingly 
digital lifestyle.

You enter the cloud

Cloud c omputing - which essentially amounts to saving, storing, and retrieving 
your documents and files online - is still struggling for widespread adoption, 
despite the emergence of very capable cloud computing applications such as 
Google Docs
Link: http://docs.google.com.

There are also some compelling benefits of cloud computing: backups become a 
non-issue, and you'll have access to your files from any computer, so long as 
it has an Internet connection.

But cloud computing also means trusting a third-party with your data, and it 
means that you won't have access to your files if your Internet connection goes 
down for any reason, so there's almost built in resistance to the concept.

Still, adoption of cloud computing is likely to get a boost in 2010, due in 
part to the introduction of Microsoft's Office 2010, which offers customers the 
option of using lightweight browser-based versions of its popular office 
productivity applications.

You won't even have to purchase Office 2010 to be able to use the cloud 
counterparts of Word, Excel, and PowerPoint, however. Microsoft has said that 
anyone who signs up for a free Windows Live account will be able to use the 
online versions of these products. That should increase the comfort level of 
millions of currently desktop-bound application users and add momentum to what 
will undoubtedly be a fixture of computing in the future.

Emergence of Web 3.0

Web 2.0 is all about social networking, community building, and the empowerment 
of the individual information creator. We've seen what that can do through 
sites like MySpace, Facebook, and Twitter.

We've also seen the limitations of this model, chiefly in the degree to which 
such megasites create data silos that require users to hop from one to the 
other in the course of gathering information.

2010 will see the emergence of Web 3.0, the chief goals of which will be to 
link these vast resources, open up architectures and create hooks so that web 
developers - and users - can access data from multiple sources using a single 
interface.

Google is already venturing into this territory by providing real-time search 
tools that mine information on social networking sites, and a growing number of 
Web 2.0 sites today are not only acknowledging the existence of other web-based 
communities and their data but openly providing users with a way to link 
resources.

Ultimately Web 3.0 applications will allow us to do away with the mountain of 
user IDs and passwords that we need for today's web in favour of helping us 
mine the information we need with a minimum of surfing. And by almost any 
standard, that represents progress.


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