That's a fun story, but you weren't showing me a chart of how drunk we are, you're showing me a chart of new cases per day.  If there's a normal trend of new cases and then some event causes more new cases then there ought to be higher numbers when those cases become symptomatic in a week or two.  I can't think of why new cases per day wouldn't return to the previous trend.

I don't what you're referring to as far as believing Fauci.  I'm aware that he's been on the TV news sometimes, but I don't watch any TV news.


On 3/4/2021 4:09 PM, Steve Jones wrote:
So say im at a bar and im gonna drink some beers at a predictable rate (the dark winter) theres the red line (trend) now say jimmy the tequila guy says lets have a few shots of patron (surge)  blue line The trend would not follow the predicted rate if there were surges of merit

see, the fat girl will still be pretty either way, just with surges it would happen quicker

outcomes the same either way

I simply dont understand how people have gotten to a point they want to believe the Fauci so bad that theyll go to Q level to see his golden tongues truth
image.png

On Thu, Mar 4, 2021 at 2:25 PM Steve Jones <[email protected] <mailto:[email protected]>> wrote:

    increased testing
    a surge isnt a blip, it would be 21 to 28 days increase/sustain
    the trend would be humped if there was a surge
    sometimes i relieve myself with my left hand for sport, that
    doesnt make me a lefty

    On Thu, Mar 4, 2021 at 2:18 PM Adam Moffett <[email protected]
    <mailto:[email protected]>> wrote:

        The 7 day average shows a ramp up 10-14 days after
        Thanksgiving and another ramp up 10-14 days after Christmas. 
        You're looking at this chart and telling me that doesn't exist
        and I'm not getting why.  Are you playing with us?


        On 3/4/2021 3:07 PM, Steve Jones wrote:
        your numbers dont depict that, but also it loks like your
        reporting is all jacked up
        https://covidtracking.com/data/state/alabama/chart-tables
        <https://covidtracking.com/data/state/alabama/chart-tables>

        On Thu, Mar 4, 2021 at 2:02 PM CBB - Jay Fuller
        <[email protected]
        <mailto:[email protected]>> wrote:


            We definitely had a surge in bama at Christmas.  I was
            part of it :(. All better now....

            ----- Reply message -----
            From: "Robert" <[email protected]
            <mailto:[email protected]>>
            To: <[email protected] <mailto:[email protected]>>
            Subject: [AFMUG] OT one month
            Date: Thu, Mar 4, 2021 11:15 AM

            Wow, I guess you live in a different country than some of
            the rest of us.   Those surges definitely "came to
            fruition" around CA, NV, Utah, Alabama, Texas, and a host
            of other states.    And the article I read said that
            those 2.3K people that got a partial dose, the efficacy
            is "unknown"...

            Lastly, you should get the vaccine, Trump did...

            On 3/4/21 8:51 AM, Steve Jones wrote:
            Id bet, much like the thanksgiving and christmas and new
            years celebration surges that never came to fruition,
            the Missouri and texas surges wont come to fruition.
            theyre doing everything they can to keep people scared.
            Firing Fauci would help to unifi messaging. I noticed
            that prick is like the fat kid that no matter what
            someone says he starts his response with
            "weeellllllll aaawwwccctchhhhuuuuuuaaalllly..." Now
            theyre saying if you only get .2ml of a .3 ml dose
            (result from using wrong syringes) youre still "protected"
            Interesting to see the CDC guidance next week on
            vaccinated individuals, Ill put money on it that Grouchy
            Fauci gets on CNN and "Welllll
            aaawwwcccttttchhhuuuuuaaaally..." whatever the guidance is.

            Here in illinois I just got mainligned for the vaccine
            cause I smoke. Im not getting the vaccine because I
            believe in actual science and know that there have been
            zero indicators that my prior infection does not garner
            the same level of immunity that the vaccines offer, but
            it goes to show that the old cigarette ads were correct
            and smoking is in fact good for you. COVID has been like
            one massive tobacco ad. smokers were less inclined to
            have the negative outcomes because this is a vascular
            disease and our nicotine intake kept our circulatory
            systems vasoconstricted so the inflammation was limited.
            now we are top dogs for vaccines.

            When the nukes fall all that will be left is
            cockroaches, smokers, and fauci (also a cockroach)
            saying "weeellllll aaawwwcccttcchhhhuuuuuaaaallly..."

            On Thu, Mar 4, 2021 at 10:14 AM Bill Prince
            <[email protected] <mailto:[email protected]>> wrote:

                A bunch of people from Texas will come to Utah and
                spread it around.


                bp
                <part15sbs{at}gmail{dot}com>

                On 3/4/2021 8:06 AM, Chuck McCown via AF wrote:
                So Utah had an average of 1391 new cases/day  30
                days ago.
                Today we are averaging 587.
                The trend line looks linear...
                A drop of 804 cases per day in a month.  Average
                reduction of 26.8 new cases per day.
                26.8 * 31 = 830
                Looks to me like we will run out of new cases
                before the end of the month....  Math, Bitch!
                Ask me in a month what went wrong...

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