I would not assume it's linear. There are too many overlapping
and/or conflicting variables to deal with. Plus you have the added
complication of a 2-3 week delay between first infection and when
(if) symptoms appear.
I would be paying attention to your local case positivity rate. Our county (San Mateo) just went from the red tier to the orange tier based partly on the case posivity rate getting below 1% and that there have been zero deaths for several weeks.
In another 2 weeks, if the case rate stays low (or lower), we will move up to the yellow tier.
bp
<part15sbs{at}gmail{dot}com>
On 3/20/2021 9:16 AM, Chuck McCown via
AF wrote:
30 days ago, Utah’s average daily new case rate was 831, yesterday 471, difference 360.ASSUMING it is linear, in 30 days we will be at 111. And zero 12 days later...Man, this is starting to look like a capacitor discharge curve... Someone needs to just short it out.
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