That wall is nothing a horizontal drill cant get through. Wireless will be gadget centric. It wont be a medium of last mile, it will be the end user medium. Realistically, for any notable distance we max our industry capacity at 1.2 to 2 reliable gbps now, that wont increase by any notable amount.
Eventually somebody will figure out a low latency high capacity ground transfer, then we just tie a copper chain to our nuts that drags around behind us from our pant leg and keeps the musk neural implant synced with the cloud On Thu, Mar 25, 2021, 9:55 PM Adam Moffett <[email protected]> wrote: > That's what I'm seeing as well I guess. Can't get more SNR, can't get > more hertz. > > The only path to improvement I see is really big beam forming array with > even more MU-MIMO chains. Cost will go up accordingly I think. > > The alternate path would be millimeter wave with all the obvious caveats. > Not trying to be a doomsayer, but I'm seeing a wall in front of me. > > > On 3/25/2021 6:30 PM, Mathew Howard wrote: > > It's seems to me that it would require a pretty radical change for fixed > wireless to progress a whole lot beyond what it's currently capable of. > Maybe 6ghz being opened up will allow for using much wider channels, and > keep things interesting, but I don't see things like MU-MIMO being more > than an incremental improvement, like practically everything over the past > decade or so. > > 60ghz has the potential to be a true competitor to fiber, but that's going > to require a completely different network design than what we're used to. > > On Thu, Mar 25, 2021 at 11:39 AM Steve Jones <[email protected]> > wrote: > >> In 10 years it will be trending to niche market for home use. We will >> have fiber to the farm so it is what it is. >> >> On Thu, Mar 25, 2021, 11:26 AM jerry bickle <[email protected]> >> wrote: >> >>> Best to watch The Simpson’s for a glimpse into the future. I’m pretty >>> sure there’s time travel involved. >>> >>> >>> >>> I think RF Design hasn’t evolved much. Simple N=1 reuse and cell splits >>> are the method that’s been used successfully for decades. Going smaller >>> isn’t innovative. MiMo is a big leap however. Broader channels are the >>> only way to deliver huge bandwidth. Going higher and higher QAM doesn’t >>> work well for mobile handsets and the diminishing returns and crazy timing >>> necessary to maintain a high QAM other than a lab are not practical. Small >>> cells are UGLY. They’re also close to the people and EMR is a concern to >>> many. The FCC has guidelines that I do trust but we’re not dealing with >>> sites that are 100’ tall and every 1/2 mile now. They’re on just about >>> every street corner. Most carriers are digging up the streets to bring >>> fiber to each of these poles. It’s an expensive deployment. 802.11ax is >>> the best innovation I’ve seen and it is truly 5G more than anything else >>> that’s out there. 8x8 and 12x12 MiMo and color coded streams for >>> interference mitigation are a big difference maker. >>> >>> >>> >>> Jerry Bickle >>> >>> President >>> >>> RF Design Services, LLC >>> >>> Cell: 405.650.3366 >>> >>> Fax: 405.330.1310 >>> >>> Email: [email protected] >>> >>> WEB: www.rfdesignservices.com >>> >>> >>> >>> >>> >>> >>> >>> *From: *AF <[email protected]> on behalf of Adam Moffett < >>> [email protected]> >>> *Reply-To: *AnimalFarm Microwave Users Group <[email protected]> >>> *Date: *Thursday, March 25, 2021 at 9:59 AM >>> *To: *AnimalFarm Microwave Users Group <[email protected]> >>> *Subject: *[AFMUG] Wireless future >>> >>> >>> >>> Any opinions on where wireless technology will evolve in the next 5 >>> years? >>> >>> >>> >>> There's a compound annual growth in demand, and trying to think about >>> >>> how manufacturers will meet that going forward. I'm assuming we can't >>> >>> count on bigger channels or more spectrum. So what then? More MU-MIMO >>> >>> chains? Or is it going to have to be street level small cells (60ghz >>> >>> etc)? Or something else? >>> >>> >>> >>> We're investing heavily in fiber, as I know a lot of you are, but the >>> >>> wireless customers aren't going to go away. >>> >>> >>> >>> >>> >>> >>> >>> -- >>> >>> AF mailing list >>> >>> [email protected] >>> >>> >>> https://urldefense.proofpoint.com/v2/url?u=http-3A__af.afmug.com_mailman_listinfo_af-5Faf.afmug.com&d=DwIGaQ&c=euGZstcaTDllvimEN8b7jXrwqOf-v5A_CdpgnVfiiMM&r=oZldojrM2-7OE-SOcQyzFlyOFVuvqI9-MKCJpgPtw5o&m=bOiKRwWQBPYARG4WBm8Fvsompi82WCazDT9jImYirBk&s=y0OEvTCKA-uC0trV_bZmS0o2H7KqtGiFk0J4YCzSDSA&e= >>> >>> >>> -- >>> AF mailing list >>> [email protected] >>> http://af.afmug.com/mailman/listinfo/af_af.afmug.com >>> >> -- >> AF mailing list >> [email protected] >> http://af.afmug.com/mailman/listinfo/af_af.afmug.com >> > > -- > AF mailing list > [email protected] > http://af.afmug.com/mailman/listinfo/af_af.afmug.com >
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