33 views a year ago?  That is really digging deep for a random comment..  Again what the actual butts in seats of the _academy_ could and probably is massively different.   Man the more you look into it the more this looks like a tempest in a tea kettle...   This isn't the actual pilots flying people, this is people going into a basic flying academy.  This isn't the pilots getting ATP it's the pilots slots in the academy that United blessed...  This isn't the number with ATP from what you shared.  Am I reading this wrong that Kirk really made a storm out of a dust devil?

On 9/23/25 11:25 AM, [email protected] wrote:

Another:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vl-HzUMeKPA

*From:*AF <[email protected]> *On Behalf Of *[email protected]
*Sent:* Tuesday, September 23, 2025 11:06 AM
*To:* 'AnimalFarm Microwave Users Group' <[email protected]>
*Subject:* Re: [AFMUG] OT Some more stats

Here ya go, CEO of United Airlines:

https://www.youtube.com/shorts/Is5V4Ac8TQA

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4PjsbmsWtrI

*From:*AF <[email protected]> *On Behalf Of *Robert
*Sent:* Tuesday, September 23, 2025 10:00 AM
*To:* [email protected]
*Subject:* Re: [AFMUG] OT Some more stats

Liars, damn liars and statisticians..   I am willing to bet that none of these are the true numbers.   & I'll also bet that the United number was a desired requirement, not a hard requirement, and they had 10 ways to hire around it going through a hoop or two.  Most of the major hiring is from the smaller airlines.   You don't get the big bucks until you survive on the small bucks.  I have two friends rising through the minor airlines right now and they are semi-prime candidates but still going through all the hoops.  There is also a lot of washout on the minor airlines from pilots that end up finding more money flying other paths when they need to support their families. Air cargo and such.

On 9/23/25 9:46 AM, [email protected] wrote:

    Seems airlines hire 5000 new pilots each year.  (from one unknown
    source)

    There are 10,000 new ATP certificates granted each year but half
    of them wash out or pause flying prior to earning the coveted 5000
    hours that you need to become a first officer.

    So, seems supply exactly equals demand (roughly).  Other sources
    are saying there is a shortage.

    Now, add an artifical restriction, of that 5000 fully qualified
    ATPs, your HR department says half have to be black/women.

    Only 5% of that pool are women.  So, there are 250 available.

    Only 4% of pool are black.  So that will get you 200.

    450 total per year but your HR department mandated 10X that amount.

    How will you fill that requirement?  Only one way, reduce the
    number of hours required.  But even if you took it all the way
    down to the 1500 hours it takes to the the ATP you will still only
    have 900 available to fill 5X the requirement.  And you will have
    450 underqualified people sitting in the right seat in front.

    I doubt the figure I found for needing 5000 new pilots industry
    wide.  I think it is low.   I found another number saying that
    United Airlines (the one that had that DEI policy for a while)
    uses about 2000 new ones each year.

    Seems that United uses 40% of the pilots each year?  In any event,
    that would make the numbers still work out in a similar fashion. 
    Mandate 1000 where there are only 450 available assuming your
    company gets all 450.

    It’s math bitch, not racism.


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