What is your justification/reasoning behind saying

"However GPT-3 definitely is close-ish to AGI, many of the mechanisms
under the illusive hood are AGI mechanisms."

?

I don't see it that way at all...

On Fri, Jul 31, 2020 at 12:39 PM <[email protected]> wrote:
>
> Follows is everything I got out of that long eyed post:
>
> "This is really, really weird in terms of the way human mind approach 
> arithmetic, right?   For a human who knows how to do 2-3 digit arithmetic, 
> the error rate at 4-5 digit arithmetic — when given time and motivation for 
> doing the arithmetic problems — is going to be either 0% or very close to 0%, 
> or else way closer to 100%.   Once a human learns the basic algorithms of 
> arithmetic, they can apply them at any size, unless they make sloppy errors 
> or just run out of patience."
> Thank you. I agree.
> BTW when humans don't know the answer, they use small things they do know to 
> carry over numbers and solve bigger equations. This requires a Task Pattern 
> learnt. GPT learns Task Patterns, not sure why it didn't here :) I think 
> nowhere in the dataset was how to do arithmetic and/or nor the correct 
> mechanisms to carry out sequences of complex tasks.
>
> You mention:
> Q: Reverse the following array: [1, 3, 5, 6, 10, 4, 2, 77]
> A: [10, 6, 4, 2, 77, 3, 5, 1]
> and
> Q: How many eyes does my foot have?
> A: Your foot has two eyes.
> Again, this is just Tasks. The latter question is a simple pattern question 
> thing that is a sad fault, this can be fixed by some simple trick surely.
>
> "Given all the ridiculous wastes of resources in modern society, it’s hard to 
> get too outraged at the funds spent on GPT3"
> Totally agree.
> "if one focuses on the fairly limited pool of resources currently being spent 
> on advanced AI systems without direct commercial application, one wonders 
> whether we’d be better off to focus more of this pool on fundamental 
> innovations in representation, architecture, learning, creativity, empathy 
> and human-computer interaction, rather than on scaling up transformers bigger 
> and bigger."
> This is true. And we can see the accuracy curve, we knew 100x bigger gpt2 
> would result in little improvement, why they do this. They're selling an API 
> is why maybe.
>
> However GPT-3 definitely is close-ish to AGI, many of the mechanisms under 
> the illusive hood are AGI mechanisms. Like turtle > man, the limbs are there, 
> the eyes, the head, the but, the spine, the lungs, just doesn't look like man 
> so much....but it's so frikin close!
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