On Thu, Jul 13, 2023, 3:14 PM <[email protected]> wrote:
> On Thursday, July 13, 2023, at 1:57 PM, Matt Mahoney wrote: > > It will take about 30 years to reduce the cost of producing a movie from > $1M to $10. > > Gonna mark this one in my book to watch :) hehe. I think it's off by 2 or > 5 times. I think we will get movie level AI, yes 2 hours, no difference, > before 2029. And yes this means I think AGI will bring us the rest of the > way from 2028-2029 to reach that using ASI. > Movies today use a lot of animation and if you read the credits, sometimes thousands of digital artists, implying a big budget and massive computing power. We just got to the point of realistic human faces in still images, but movies are still mostly using human actors. If this could all be automated, movies would be individually generated for each viewer and be interactive, more like a video game. It would use your eye movements and facial expressions to direct the plot. Music would be a custom experience too. How soon? I think on the scale of human brain sized neural networks, in the tens of petaflops and a petabyte, trained on years of video and music. We have a serious power problem, though. Right now you need a megawatt of electricity and we are running out of ways to reduce power. You can't make transistors smaller than atoms. ------------------------------------------ Artificial General Intelligence List: AGI Permalink: https://agi.topicbox.com/groups/agi/T59f369fee7febd6d-Me34e00e394e067d8d770f6f4 Delivery options: https://agi.topicbox.com/groups/agi/subscription
