On Mon, Dec 22, 2025 at 1:38 PM Matt Mahoney <[email protected]> wrote:
> We establish causation by controlled experiments. > We establish causality with lossless compression of those observations which we consider worthy of lossless compression. Data selection precedes not only model selection but modeling itself. In AIXI terms, there is a particular point in the agent's online learning where we establish causality: Solomonoff Induction However, Solomonoff Induction is subject itself to subjective decision-theoretic constraints: 1) Data selection 2) Resource allocation to the lossless compression of #1 This is true whether data selection draws from controlled experiments or not. Anyone who has actually done controlled experiments knows that resulting data must be viewed within forensic epistemology: What was the process that produced the data? That's when measurement instruments come into phenomenology including not just devices like thermometers, but the institutions that create the environment for research and, of course, the scientists themselves. ------------------------------------------ Artificial General Intelligence List: AGI Permalink: https://agi.topicbox.com/groups/agi/T6cf3be509c7cd2f2-Mdc970393b426aa82e16f2ff6 Delivery options: https://agi.topicbox.com/groups/agi/subscription
