Happy new quarter century. My predictions for 2026-2100.

1. World travel will be easier than ever. War will end. International
border controls will disappear. Everyone of any nationality will be able to
live and work where they want. Africa will have modern infrastructure and
eradicate malaria, making it a popular tourist destination. China will lead
the world in advanced technology, mass producing the robots that will do
most of our work. Everyone will know English.

2. Prisons, arrests, and handcuffs are barbaric and will be abolished.
Crime will be controlled by pervasive AI surveillance and reward rather
than punishment. Large events and their venues like stadiums and theaters
will disappear. You won't know your neighbors or go to parties. Stores will
close to stop shoplifting, replaced by warehouses with delivery by self
driving carts. You won't need a car because self driving taxis will be
cheaper and faster. You won't need a kitchen because having meals delivered
will be faster and cheaper than cooking. The few remaining children will be
home schooled by AI.

3. AI will be a magic genie that grants all your wishes except happiness.
You will live alone in your smart home, entertained by your private genre
of movies, games, and music with your AI friends, robotic pets and sexbot
lovers. No humans will know or care that you exist. You will lose the
skills you need to communicate with other people even if you wanted to.

4. World population will peak at 9 billion by 2050 and drop rapidly after
that. By the next century, the only humans left alive will be small,
insular societies like the Amish that ban AI, reject modern technology, and
force women with no rights to marry young and raise children.

I spent the last quarter century helping to develop AI. This isn't the
world I want, but after I die without descendants, my opinion won't matter.

-- Matt Mahoney, [email protected]

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