On Wed, Feb 25, 2026 at 3:59 PM Matt Mahoney <[email protected]> wrote:
> > The reason that we can use text compression to test language models but we > can't use video compression to test vision models is signal to noise ratio. > We can't really use compression to test language models—not because of the noise floor, but because of political economy and industrial path dependency (ala The Hardware Lottery). It's absurd that neither the Hutter Prize nor your LTCB is funded by the insurance industry with billions of dollars in underwriting in order to discount the risk that capital investments in current algorithms and hardware will need to be written off. That's all political economy nonsense arising from taxing activity rather than the liquidation value of net assets at something like the 30-year Treasury rate. And, yeah, that's _my_ theory of macrosocial dynamics showing from my experience getting the government to stop protecting public and private monopoly power with the resources of entrepreneurs like Musk. And that's why I started looking for ways of reforming the social pseudosciences because no one would believe me until now it's almost too late. Given what is at stake in macrosocial dynamical theory, the juice is worth the squeeze whereas it may not be in video compression, nor in many other areas where less is at stake and therefore there is less of a conflict of interest bedeviling the science. ------------------------------------------ Artificial General Intelligence List: AGI Permalink: https://agi.topicbox.com/groups/agi/Tb9c1aaff01c2b823-M4efeee64927168cc07e7e8aa Delivery options: https://agi.topicbox.com/groups/agi/subscription
