Ben, The outlined argument appears to make one equivocation which could be removed:
The hardness versus softness of the takeoff then has to do with the amount > of time needed to carry out this process of “exploring slight variations.” > This > leads to the introduction of a second condition. If one’s region of > mindspace obeys the first condition laid out above, and also consists of AGI > systems for which adding more hardware tends to accelerate system speed > significantly, without impairing intelligence, then it follows that one can > make the takeoff hard by simply adding more hardware. > It isn't necessarily the case that adding more hardware increases the rate of self-improvement significantly, just because it improves overall intelligence. This could be stated as an additional assumption: that better general intelligence automatically means better self-improvement skill. (A view contrary to this might claim that no matter how much intelligence you have in other areas, you are always fundamentally limited in your ability to self-improve-- perhaps arguing that smarter minds are more complicated and difficult to understand, so that more intelligence doesn't necessarily mean more self-improvement capability... it might even make it harder to self-improve!) Also a note about the assumption which *is* stated... one argument against the idea that more hardware -> more intelligence might be that data is the fundamental limiting variable, after some particular amount of hardware has been obtained. (This has similarities to Matt's arguments.) The question is then whether the amount of data available is enough for hard takeoff, which is an interesting question in itself! --Abram On Fri, Jan 14, 2011 at 12:04 AM, Ben Goertzel <[email protected]> wrote: > The Hard Takeoff Hypothesis (new blog post by me) > > http://multiverseaccordingtoben.blogspot.com/2011/01/hard-takeoff-hypothesis.html > > ... what kind of AGI system could enable a hard takeoff? OpenCog? > > -- > Ben Goertzel, PhD > CEO, Novamente LLC and Biomind LLC > CTO, Genescient Corp > Chairman, Humanity+ > Adjunct Professor of Cognitive Science, Xiamen University, China > Advisor, Singularity University and Singularity Institute > [email protected] > > "My humanity is a constant self-overcoming" -- Friedrich Nietzsche > -- Abram Demski http://lo-tho.blogspot.com/ http://groups.google.com/group/one-logic ------------------------------------------- AGI Archives: https://www.listbox.com/member/archive/303/=now RSS Feed: https://www.listbox.com/member/archive/rss/303/8660244-d750797a Modify Your Subscription: https://www.listbox.com/member/?member_id=8660244&id_secret=8660244-6e7fb59c Powered by Listbox: http://www.listbox.com
