Combinatorial complexity has to be the outstanding contemporary problem.
If it weren't, any number of methods would be effectively able to produce
limited AGI and the limitations of the best of these programs would show up
as caps on progress proportionate to the increase in power of computers.
Since computer power has been increasing at an exponential rate the
progress of AGI should appear to be progressive.  Watson, the effective
implementation of lidar and GPS to enable cars to drive themselves along
with other advances do seem to argue that AI is advancing at a linear rate
but that means is that AGI must be advancing at a logarithmic rate
compared to the advancement of computer technology.  This indicates that
combinatorial complexity is the problem.

The argument that the human mind must have some way to get around this
problem may be valid but it does not validate the argument that
combinatorial complexity is not the outstanding contemporary problem.

Jim Bromer



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AGI
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