One month has gone by and the progress I have made on my AGi project is so slow that it is obvious to me that I will not be able to get it working in a year or two unless I do a lot better. So using a predicted date in a theory about the development of my project has allowed me to get a better sense of how I am doing even though there are no true tests to benchmark this.
Expectations may be implicitly or explicitly associated with a great deal of knowledge but I just do not feel that they are essential objectives of intelligence. Making a thorough philosophical analysis of how expectation plays in different theories about intelligence/AI/AGI is probably not the best use of my time, but let me say that there are some subtleties involved. It is very useful to find observable objectives that can be used to establish some sense of the effectiveness and proper usage of a theory, and these observable objectives can even be associated with more elusive objectives but the more elusive parts of combined objectives have to be used wisely. So my *feelings* of how much progress I have made on my AGi project are subjective "objectives" but as long as I am honest and willing to put some thought into it I can interpret them wisely. I am 1/12 of the way to my "deadline," can I say that my program is 1/12 of the way to being intelligent? No. The fact that I am doing more programming and that I have a better plan than I did before are encouraging signs. And while I haven't discovered anything about AGI I have discovered something. When I wanted to try to run a simple initial test of intelligence I realized that it was beyond me because intelligence requires a great deal of integrated knowledge to serve as the potential background for a simple test. So I realized that I will not be able to try exactly what I wanted to try. So instead I will need to create some novel initial tests (of AGi) by combining what I discover can be done with a number of simple algorithms that I am using and then applying my imagination to see how I might use those algorithms to gain some kind of artificial insight. So this may be a trivial insight about developing an AGI project but I believe that the fact that I have formally recognized it will make it more likely that I will be able to develop good initial AGi tests than I might have been otherwise. I will have a better sense of well this new plan will work by the start of the next month. Jim Bromer ------------------------------------------- AGI Archives: https://www.listbox.com/member/archive/303/=now RSS Feed: https://www.listbox.com/member/archive/rss/303/21088071-f452e424 Modify Your Subscription: https://www.listbox.com/member/?member_id=21088071&id_secret=21088071-58d57657 Powered by Listbox: http://www.listbox.com
