> -----Original Message----- > From: Matt Mahoney via AGI [mailto:[email protected]] > > > But there are other difficulties. We can only predict the future by > extrapolating trends. Technology prices will drop. Population will grow. Sea > levels will rise. But trends end. In the 1950's there was a rapid growth of > nuclear power and space travel, so we predicted nuclear powered flying cars > and vacations on Mars. Nobody predicted mobile phones or the internet. >
I predict with 100% certainty that the unpredictable will occur... unless the universe halts. If the universe halts I predict with 100% certainty that no more predictions will occur. What is the thermodynamic description of prediction? If you have infinite information you potentially can predict perfectly but the information has to be transgressed with time and energy. Prediction intelligence involves present compression of potential future outcomes. The view of the future is like a simultaneous compression and decompression, whatever that’s called... Tuesday afternoon musings :) John ------------------------------------------- AGI Archives: https://www.listbox.com/member/archive/303/=now RSS Feed: https://www.listbox.com/member/archive/rss/303/21088071-f452e424 Modify Your Subscription: https://www.listbox.com/member/?member_id=21088071&id_secret=21088071-58d57657 Powered by Listbox: http://www.listbox.com
