I was in a hurry but I am not sure why I was not more defensive about it. However it was an extremely simple rule so the assumption that it was a simple rule had a biasing effect itself. If it had two rules it would have been more difficult to figure out. Jim Bromer
On Fri, Jul 3, 2015 at 3:59 PM, Matt Mahoney <[email protected]> wrote: > I guessed that this might be about confirmation bias, so my tests were > as follows: > > 2 4 8 obeys the rule (given) > 2 4 6 yes > 2 6 4 no > 1 2 3 yes > 1 2 2 no > 3 2 1 no > -1 0 1 yes > 100 200 201 yes > 748343 843244 843244 no > 748343 843244 843245 yes > 1.5 2 2.1 yes > 1.5 2.2 2.1 no > > Confirmation bias is mentioned in section 6 of > https://intelligence.org/files/CognitiveBiases.pdf > along with other of our cognitive defects. > > > On Fri, Jul 3, 2015 at 12:12 AM, Jim Bromer <[email protected]> wrote: >> http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2015/07/03/upshot/a-quick-puzzle-to-test-your-problem-solving.html?mabReward=A1&moduleDetail=recommendations-0&action=click&contentCollection=Politics®ion=Footer&module=WhatsNext&version=WhatsNext&contentID=WhatsNext&configSection=article&isLoggedIn=false&src=recg&pgtype=article >> >> >> ------------------------------------------- >> AGI >> Archives: https://www.listbox.com/member/archive/303/=now >> RSS Feed: https://www.listbox.com/member/archive/rss/303/3701026-786a0853 >> Modify Your Subscription: https://www.listbox.com/member/?&; >> Powered by Listbox: http://www.listbox.com > > > > -- > -- Matt Mahoney, [email protected] > > > ------------------------------------------- > AGI > Archives: https://www.listbox.com/member/archive/303/=now > RSS Feed: https://www.listbox.com/member/archive/rss/303/24379807-653794b5 > Modify Your Subscription: https://www.listbox.com/member/?&; > Powered by Listbox: http://www.listbox.com ------------------------------------------- AGI Archives: https://www.listbox.com/member/archive/303/=now RSS Feed: https://www.listbox.com/member/archive/rss/303/21088071-f452e424 Modify Your Subscription: https://www.listbox.com/member/?member_id=21088071&id_secret=21088071-58d57657 Powered by Listbox: http://www.listbox.com
