Ed,

> From my adventures in physics, I came to the conclusion that my
> understanding of the physical world had more to do with 1. My ability
> to create and use tools for modeling, i.e. from the physical tools of
> an advanced computer system to my internal abstraction tools like a
> new theorem of group algebra that helps me organize the particle world,
> 2. My internal mechanism for modeling, i.e. my internal neural
> structure, than it had to do with any 'physical reality'. 

Isn't the deterministic universe a working hypothesis that drives a lot of 
technological development and science?  In other words we expect to 
find regularities and causal webs when we know enough about the 
system?

It seems to me that we can't tell at this point whether we live in a 
universe that is deterministic all the way down.  The permanently 
inevitable limits on our perception, modelling skills and depth of 
knowledgebase prevent us from developing a fully deterministic model 
for all issues based on modelling all details of the universe down to the 
finest detail.  So for most questions we must simplify and work with 
black boxes at all sorts of levels.  This means that the statistical 
probablistic approach works best for lots of issues but as our 
knowledgebase, perception and modelling skills improve we can apply 
approximate deterministic approaches to more things.

My guess is that if, as we or AGIs improve our knowledgebase, 
perception and modelling skills that we find that 'we' can apply 
approximately deterministic models to explain more and more and 
more things that previously had to be grappled with using statistical 
probablisitic approaches then I would say that strengthens the value of 
the deterministic-universe working hypothesis - but of course since we 
can never model the whole universe in full detail while we are within 
the universe iteslf then we will never know whether at bottom it really is 
deterministic or probablistic - this is the Pooh bear problem.  Is there 
really cheese at the bottom of the honey jar?  Can't tell till you get 
there.

I once skimmed a book that claimed  we are actually artifacts living in 
some other being's simulation which was supposedly why the 
newtonian work of day to day life gives way to the probablisitic 
quantum world.  :)

Cheers, Philip

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