>What is the demonstrable intermediate step to making an airplane?

Positive lift, demonstrated increases in glide distances, gradually
increasing
times staying aloft, etc.  It's exactly how (without numerical simulations
and so on) that airfoil design, appropriate materials, and so on, were
discovered.  Nobody built a 747 as the first airplane and crossed their
fingers that their theories were right.


Yeah, but it's obvious only in hindsight that those are the right
intermediate
steps to look at.

In foresight, skeptics just said "So what if you have positive lift and
increasing
glide distance, that doesn't mean anything about achieving true flight"

We have intermediate steps that we are working toward in the Novamente
project ... of course ... but, the problem of getting skeptics to accept
one's
intermediate steps as meaningful or convincing is a whole other issue.

In AGI, as with the flight example, the validity of certain intermediary
steps as indicators
of progress is dependent upon one's underlying theory.

The difference is that now (as opposed to in the time of the Wright
brothers) there
is a commonly accepted theory of aerodynamics, so everyone accepts what the
sensible intermediate steps on the path to flight are.

But there is not, now, any commonly accepted theory of cogno-dynamics...

-- Ben

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