Dear list,

I am an avid follower of the Overcoming Biases blog and am posting what I am
about to write for two reasons:

a) I know that several of the authors of the blog are reading this list
b) Biases may hint towards some interesting heuristics for AGI development

From Wikipedia (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bias): "A bias is a prejudice
in a general or specific sense, usually in the sense for having a preference
to one particular point of view or ideological perspective. However, one is
generally only said to be biased if one's powers of judgment are influenced
by the biases one holds, to the extent that one's views could not be taken
as being neutral or objective, but instead as subjective. A bias could, for
example, lead one to accept or deny the truth of a claim, not on the basis
of the strength of the arguments in support of the claim themselves, but
because of the extent of the claim's correspondence with one's own
preconceived ideas. This is called confirmation bias."

Humans are biased in their cognition in many ways (
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_cognitive_biases). A cognitive bias can
be compared to an optical illusion. The key difference however is that an
optical illusion is relatively easy to recognize where a cognitive bias is
not. Imagine what you believe to be true to be about as close to actual
reality as the perceived difference in color of checker A and B in the
attached image.

Now why is that? Cognitive biases could be...

a) ...less fit characteristics of human cognition that did not pose too big
a problem for humanity to make it to the current day (like an infection
prone appendix of the mind - bad but not too bad).
b) ...fitness increasing characteristics of human cognition that proved
beneficial for our ancestors in the course of evolution but that have lost
their value in modern times (like our craving for burgers and fries that
back in the days prevented our ancestors from dying should the next harvest
not go so well but are causing all kind of obesity related issues in a post
caloric scarcity society)
c) ...fitness increasing characteristics of human cognition that are just as
valid today as they were over the course of evolution.

Assuming a) or b) it would be beneficial to overcome biases.
Assuming c) it would be detrimental to overcome biases and cognitive biases
may even be interesting heuristic mechanisms that are helping us to make
decisions under uncertainty.

Is there a convincing argument either way? May some biases fall under a),
some under b), and some under c)?

Thanks,

Stefan
--
Stefan Pernar
App. 1-6-I, Piao Home
No. 19 Jiang Tai Xi Lu
100016 Beijing
China
Mobil: +86 1391 009 1931
Skype: Stefan.Pernar

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