> From: J. Andrew Rogers [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED]
> Subject: Re: [agi] More public awarenesss that AGI is coming fast
> 
> Why does an AGI deliverable require more than 3-4 years?  You better
> have a good answer for that, or no one will fund you.  Most people
> *don't* have a good answer for that.
> 
> 
> > Ya personally I don't like the VC model it's better to deliver
> > concrete
> > results even if they are in baby steps. BUT if the guy next to you is
> > getting massive investment THEN what route do you take? Definitely
> > boils
> > down to who's got the right software IMO.
> 
> 
> There is enough VC money for everyone with a decent business model.
> Honestly, most AGI is not a decent business model.  Otherwise
> Mentifex would be smothered in cash.  It might even keep him quiet.
> 
> Good AGI with adequate reputation would have no problem getting
> funded.  Indeed, mediocre AGI with adequate reputation routinely gets
> funded.  The problem is an absence of  both reputation and business
> credibility.  There are a lot of people with crap reputation that can
> still turn a dollar.
> 
> The reality remains that virtually all AGI projects are objectively
> crap investments, and consequently it is an uphill battle to find
> people willing to make such investments.  A track record is huge;
> proving that you have delivered on insanity in the past will have VCs
> lining up to invest in your insanity in the future.  But you have to
> have delivered at some point.
>

Any software deliverable greater than 3 to 4 years is very high risk. That
is either in selling a software deliverable to a customer or an investor.
Both are a sell but it's a matter of selling a commitment to yourself in
regards to delivery. Do you commit yourself knowingly? And a deliverable may
be just a proof-of-concept baby-step reassurance in reality so it's a matter
of which burden incurs the most liability - the investor or the customer(s),
for the long term goal of comprehensive AGI dev which may take 5 to 10
years...
 
John




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