On Tue, Aug 26, 2008 at 11:13 PM, Valentina Poletti <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
> Vlad, Terren and all,
>
> by reading your interesting discussion, this saying popped in my mind..
> admittedly it has little to do with AGI but you might get the point anyhow:
>
> An old lady used to walk down a street everyday, and on a tree by that
> street a bird sang beautifully, the sound made her happy and cheerful and
> she was very thankful for that. One day she decided to catch the bird and
> place it into a cage, so she could always have it singing for her.
> Unfortunately for her, the bird got sad in the cage and stopped singing...
> thus taking away her cheer as well.
>
> Well, the story has a different purpose, but one can see a moral that
> connects to this argument. Control is an illusion. It takes away the very
> nature of what we are trying to control.

Then you are doing something wrong. The natural word "control" biases
how you think about this issue, creating associations with caged
birds, imprisonment, shattered potential and stupid mechanical robots.
Think instead of determination, lawfulness and rational decisions.

You do not see yourself as being controlled, as being limited in your
ability to e.g. eat human babies. Control embodied in you that
prevents you from doing that doesn't take away your human nature; on
the contrary, it is a part of human nature. What is genetically
determined in humans is not there to constrain us, it is not
inflexible and fixed as opposed to general ability of intelligence.
Instead, it is what enables us to be flexible and generally
intelligent, to see what is good. We are determined and controlled by
our nature, but we don't want to escape it, instead we want to improve
on it from within (see
http://www.overcomingbias.com/2008/07/rebelling-withi.html ). For more
about how freedom comes as lawfulness, in intricate and open-ended
forms, see Tooby and Cosmides "The psychological foundations of
culture" ( http://folk.uio.no/rickyh/papers/TheAdaptedMind.htm ).

Needing to know what we are doing is *necessary* to avoid ruin. You
can't create a Friendly AI with 60% of success, and you can't create
an FAI with 1% of success, because it is too hard to know how likely
it is to work. If you can create an FAI and know that it has 1% chance
to work, you understand FAI well enough to make one that is almost
guaranteed to work. And if you don't understand it well enough to say
that it has that 1% chance of succeeding, how do you know that it's
not in fact a lottery ticket that you have no hope of winning? The
question of Friendly AI has some amount of complexity, and unless you
know what you are doing, you will be confronted by this complexity
playing against you, exponentially reducing your chances. You can't
hope to hit a narrow target being blindfolded and boasting that you
have a chance. Even when you see the target, you probably won't be
ready and will need to continue working on your skill instead.

-- 
Vladimir Nesov
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
http://causalityrelay.wordpress.com/


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