I have had similar experience until I set the “Limit trade size as % of entry bar volume” to some value like 0.25 for 0.25%. My results were more realistic at that point. I also made sure my available capital was spread across my max open positions.

 

You can find the “Limit trade size as % of entry bar volume” in the Backtester settings on the Portfolio tab.

 

Rob

 


From: [email protected] [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] On Behalf Of intermilan04
Sent: Wednesday, August 30, 2006 2:11 PM
To: [email protected]
Subject: [amibroker] Backtest vs Forwardtest

 

Hi all,

I'm having a puzzling situation where my backtest results are
fantastic yet my forwardtest result is nowhere near it.

My system is optimized between 2001/1/1 and 2006/1/1. Results YTD is
"forwardtest" since it is beyond the scope of optimized data range.

Here are some numbers of backtests:
Year-by-year-results (CAR)
2001/1/1-2002/1/1: 393.70%
2002/1/1-2003/1/1: 232.64%
2003/1/1-2004/1/1: 721.79%
2004/1/1-2005/1/1: 400.82%
2005/1/1-2006/1/1: 490.72%

and at last--forwardtest
2006/1/1-2006/8/29: 74.64%

I am at a loss to explain this. It's very sad that I work hard to
come up with a system that has worked, only to see it not working
nearly as good as it should be.

Any analysis/suggestions to fix the problem above is greatly appreciated.

Sincerely,

intermilan04

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