If your trades are actually affecting market price then you either 
have more money then you need ... or ... you are trading issues that 
aren't very liquid.

--- In [email protected], "intermilan04" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> 
wrote:
>
> dingo,
> 
> One issue is:
> - Fantastic backtest, relatively poor forward test results
> 
> Another issue is:
> - When I follow my system, I get bad pricing because sometimes 
stocks
> gap up due to my order being placed overnight
> 
> These are two separate issues.
> Of course, the question is how do you actually follow your own 
system
> if following it ends up influencing the market against you.  It 
sounds
> like a Zen question so I put it aside for now and focus on the first
> issue.
> 
> intermilan04
> 
> --- In [email protected], "dingo" <dingo@> wrote:
> >
> > As far as "this is a whole another issue" - I seriously doubt 
that's the
> > case.  Sounds like the same general problem to me.
> > 
> > Download IO.zip and read thru the docs and see if any of that 
makes
> sense to
> > you...
> > 
> > d  
> > 
> > > -----Original Message-----
> > > From: [email protected] 
> > > [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] On Behalf Of intermilan04
> > > Sent: Wednesday, August 30, 2006 7:32 PM
> > > To: [email protected]
> > > Subject: [amibroker] Re: Backtest vs Forwardtest
> > > 
> > > I wish I was making 75% up to now :-)
> > > The 75% is the result of my system which is optimized between 
> > > 2001-2006.  Since I'm always trying to improve my system, I 
> > > don't necessarily have traded with the system verbatim from 
2006/1/1.
> > > 
> > > Now I am having an issue where as soon as I start using a 
> > > system its performance drops :-D  but this is a whole another 
> > > issue so I didn't mention about it here.
> > > 
> > > intermilan04
> > > 
> > > --- In [email protected], "sebastiandanconia"
> > > <sebastiandanconia@> wrote:
> > > >
> > > > Nope, I just meant that he measured all the other years from 
> > > > Jan.1-Jan.1, so he's not comparing apples to apples by 
> > > looking at YTD 
> > > > performance.  We're coming into a time of year when there are 
> > > > typically major drops followed by major rallies, so if his 
system 
> > > > captures that behavior it could make up for its miserable 
> > > 75% profit 
> > > > up until now.:)
> > > > 
> > > > I hear you about real DD's that exceed that of tested 
> > > methods.  That's 
> > > > why I think it's so important to understand why a system 
> > > works, beyond 
> > > > simply the fact that it's tested-out well, which could just 
be a 
> > > > mathematical coincidence, a meaningless correlation without 
any 
> > > > cause-and-effect relationship.
> > > > 
> > > > 
> > > > Luck,
> > > > 
> > > > Sebastian
> > > > 
> > > > --- In [email protected], "Fred" <ftonetti@> wrote:
> > > > >
> > > > > "So, two things: First, the obvious one, you can't really 
> > > know that 
> > > > > your system has "broken down" until you get the final 
results on 
> > > > > January 1, 2007.:)"
> > > > > 
> > > > > Really ? ... You mean there is no point at which real DD's 
exceed 
> > > > > previous experience you wouldn't think that system is 
broken ?
> > > > >
> > > >
> > > 
> > > 
> > > 
> > > 
> > > 
> > > 
> > > Please note that this group is for discussion between users 
only.
> > > 
> > > To get support from AmiBroker please send an e-mail directly 
> > > to SUPPORT {at} amibroker.com
> > > 
> > > For other support material please check also:
> > > http://www.amibroker.com/support.html
> > > 
> > >  
> > > Yahoo! Groups Links
> > > 
> > > 
> > > 
> > >  
> > > 
> > > 
> > > 
> > > --
> > > No virus found in this incoming message.
> > > Checked by AVG Free Edition.
> > > Version: 7.1.405 / Virus Database: 268.11.7/433 - Release 
> > > Date: 8/30/2006
> > >  
> > >
> >
>







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