Lovely... thank you

  ----- Original Message ----- 
  From: wavemechanic 
  To: [email protected] 
  Sent: Friday, July 13, 2007 1:22 PM
  Subject: Re: [amibroker] Re: Volatility vs. STD?


  historical volatility = StDev(log(C / Ref(C, -1), period) * sqrt(251) * 100

  ----- Original Message ----- 
  From: "cstrader" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
  To: <[email protected]>
  Sent: Friday, July 13, 2007 8:05 AM
  Subject: Re: [amibroker] Re: Volatility vs. STD?


  > Formula attached...
  > 
  > ----- Original Message ----- 
  > From: "cstrader" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
  > To: <[email protected]>
  > Sent: Friday, July 13, 2007 7:47 AM
  > Subject: Re: [amibroker] Re: Volatility vs. STD?
  > 
  > 
  >> OK, digging deeper I found a can of worms (http://www.sitmo.com/eqcat/4)
  >>
  >> Below is a simple formula, although there are others (for instance some 
  >> that
  >> ignore overnight gaps)
  >> Anyone might have already coded this in AFL?, or feel like doing it? (my
  >> patience is too thin today)
  >>
  >> However, I found that if I use the the STD divided by the square-root of 
  >> the
  >> #bars for the year, then I get a figure that seems to mesh with other
  >> sources.  For instance, the 30 and 200 day volatilies of QQQQ using these
  >> formulas:
  >>
  >> VOl200a = StDev(C, 200) / sqrt(265);
  >>
  >> Vol30a = StDev(C, 30) / sqrt(265);
  >>
  >> turn out to be about .22 and .11 respectively.
  >>
  >> Maybe that is close enough?
  >>
  >> List of symbols
  >>
  >>
  >>     Volatility
  >>
  >>
  >>     The closing price on the ith day
  >>
  >>      n
  >>     Number of historical days used in the volatility estimate
  >>
  >>
  >>     Log return on the ith day
  >>
  >>      Z
  >>     The number of closing prices in a year
  >>
  >>
  >>
  >>
  >>
  >>
  >>
  >>
  >> Historical Close-to-Close Volatility
  >>
  >>
  >>
  >>
  >>
  >>
  >>
  >> Historical volatility calculation using close-to-close prices.
  >>
  >>
  >>
  >>
  >> ----- Original Message ----- 
  >> From: "vlanschot" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
  >> To: <[email protected]>
  >> Sent: Friday, July 13, 2007 5:33 AM
  >> Subject: [amibroker] Re: Volatility vs. STD?
  >>
  >>
  >>> Several points:
  >>>
  >>> 1) Usually people use the returns to calculate volatility, not Price,
  >>> i.e. ROC (C,1) or LN(C/Ref(C,-1)).
  >>> 2)Strictly speaking, one needs to make a distinction between full
  >>> population or sample. As far as I know, afl's StDev assumes full
  >>> population.
  >>> 3) Volty is usually quoted indeed on an annualised basis. Therefore
  >>> multiply your calc by the square-root of the #bars for the year, i.e.
  >>> sqrt (12) if you've calculated in monthly mode, sqrt (256) or sqrt
  >>> (365) in daily, etc.
  >>>
  >>> PS
  >>>
  >>> --- In [email protected], "cstrader" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
  >>>>
  >>>> Sorry, but what's the difference?  Is the annualized volatility of a
  >>> stock
  >>>> about the same as STDev(C, 200)?
  >>>>
  >>>> Thanks!
  >>>>
  >>>
  >>>
  >>>
  >>>
  >>> Please note that this group is for discussion between users only.
  >>>
  >>> To get support from AmiBroker please send an e-mail directly to
  >>> SUPPORT {at} amibroker.com
  >>>
  >>> For NEW RELEASE ANNOUNCEMENTS and other news always check DEVLOG:
  >>> http://www.amibroker.com/devlog/
  >>>
  >>> For other support material please check also:
  >>> http://www.amibroker.com/support.html
  >>>
  >>> Yahoo! Groups Links
  >>>
  >>>
  >>>
  >>
  >>
  >> Please note that this group is for discussion between users only.
  >>
  >> To get support from AmiBroker please send an e-mail directly to
  >> SUPPORT {at} amibroker.com
  >>
  >> For NEW RELEASE ANNOUNCEMENTS and other news always check DEVLOG:
  >> http://www.amibroker.com/devlog/
  >>
  >> For other support material please check also:
  >> http://www.amibroker.com/support.html
  >>
  >> Yahoo! Groups Links
  >>
  >>
  >>
  >> 
  > 
  > 
  > Please note that this group is for discussion between users only.
  > 
  > To get support from AmiBroker please send an e-mail directly to 
  > SUPPORT {at} amibroker.com
  > 
  > For NEW RELEASE ANNOUNCEMENTS and other news always check DEVLOG:
  > http://www.amibroker.com/devlog/
  > 
  > For other support material please check also:
  > http://www.amibroker.com/support.html
  > 
  > Yahoo! Groups Links
  > 
  > 
  > 
  > 


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