hi,

found an interesting article. 

http://finance.yahoo.com/news/Combining-Trading-Strategies-tm-14154609.html

his claims can easily be tested using Amibroker. For instance he claims that 
"Over the course of time, stock index markets touch their daily pivot point 
values roughly 70% of the time."

this can be tested using:

DH = Ref(H,-1);
DL = Ref(L,-1);
DC = Ref(C,-1);

rg = DH - DL;

PV = (DH+DL+DC)/3;
R1 = PV + (PV - DL);
R2 = PV + rg;
R3 = R1 + rg;
R4 = R2 + rg;

S1 = PV - (DH - PV);
S2 = PV - rg;
S3 = S1 - rg;
S4 = S2 - rg;

// pivot stats
occ1 = IIf(O < pv AND H >= pv,1,0);
"retrace up to pivot: " + WriteVal(LastValue(Cum(occ1)/Cum(O < pv)));
occ1 = IIf(O > pv AND L <= pv,1,0);
"retrace down to pivot: " + WriteVal(LastValue(Cum(occ1)/Cum(O > pv)));

for the SPY I get 66.9% (retrace up) and 62.6% (retrace down).

For gaps up and down a gap up (again for SPY) between R1 and R2 has 81.9% 
chance to retrace back to R1. A gap up between R2 and R3 has 83.1% chance to 
retrace back to R2. Similar percentages can be found for downside gaps.

regards, Ed

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