Ummm, there are  some of us who collect & operate this stuff just because we
like it ...HI

de KA4JVY
Mark


--- Merz Donald S <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
> Q: What do baby boomers have to do with boatanchors?
> A: Anything, and -- not to put too fine a point on it, everything. 
> 
> Let me explain.
> 
> A baby boomer is a person born between the years of 1946 and 1964. Every
> country on Earth has a significant baby boomer generation. In the USA, the
> baby boom generation is over 26% of the population. The current aggregate
> income of USA baby boomers is $4.1 trillion. They (we) use this income to
> account for 40% of total demand and almost 50% of all discretionary spending.
> Boomers hold 80% of the cash and 79% of all the assets that exist--including
> --ta-da-- boatanchors.
> 
> So what? Well, 46 + 65 = 2011. The boomers are retiring soon. Actually, due
> to early retirements and other factors, significant increases in retirements
> will begin between 2006 and 2008. By 2011, retirement-mania will be in full
> swing. Sometime shortly thereafter, "the largest wealth transfer in history"
> begins to take place. A minimum of $41 TRILLION will begin transferring "from
> parents to children and from philanthropists to charities."
> 
> Economists only have this figured out in the broadest terms. But sometime
> between 2011 and 2021, the baby boomers will become what is called "net
> sellers of investments". That means that you and I will unload more
> boatanchors than we buy. Economists disagree about what this means for the
> financial markets. The gloomy ones say that this will usher in a "structural
> bear market that could last throughout much of the second quarter of the 21st
> Century." But let's deal with boatanchors here.
> 
> I changed the wording in the paragraph below to say "boatanchors" everywhere
> it used to say "financial holdings". But this is from an insurance industry
> report:
> 
> "At first, the older Boomers will begin selling some of their BAs, but the
> sales will be absorbed rather easily by the larger number of younger Boomers
> who are still eagerly buying. Eventually, though, even the middle and
> younger-aged Boomers will want to liquidate some of their boatanchors. Who
> can they sell to? The only options seem to be the much smaller and more
> financially pressed "Generation X" that grew up in the shadow of the boom, or
> the potentially larger and more promising market of buyers from overseas."
> 
> This is why you and me have anything and everything to do with boatanchors.
> We own practically all of them. And we all need to get rid of them over the
> next 15 to 25 years. Worse, the only market we have for them is "much smaller
> and financially pressed". 
> 
> A word to the wise should be sufficient. Keep your collection in touch with
> the demographics and the concepts of supply and demand. BAs are fun. But they
> are not good long term investments. It's just that simple.
> 
> Since no one is going to want them, I am planning to be buried with
> mine--like the ancient Egyptian mummies with their cats.
> 
> 73, Don Merz, N3RHT
> 
> Quotes are from various insurance industry reports on the web and the World
> Future Society. 
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