Insufficient data in epidemiological sources. Basically, we need fairly decent time series incidence data over a few years in order to train the models; this isn’t available for Zika, just case reports here and there.
The expert on our team is Ashlynn Daughton: “[T]here’s been a small amount of surveillance of Zika (http://www.eurosurveillance.org/images/dynamic/ET/V19N02/V19N02.pdf). French polynesia and other islands had an outbreak in 2013 and it sounds like there are *some* reports (pg. 50). There’s also sporadic mentions of imported Zika from travelers from Africa or Asia (e.g. See pg 54). But there hasn’t been anything as systematic, or comprehensive as there is now.” HTH, Reid On Feb 19, 2016, at 10:29 AM, Dan Andreescu <[email protected]<mailto:[email protected]>> wrote: Thanks, Reid. When you say there's insufficient data history, do you mean in other sources? Zika was discovered in 1947 and the wiki page for it was built in 2009. We have high quality geolocated data since May 2015. I'm still doing research (I admit the distractions at the foundation have gotten in the way, I apologize for that). I hope to get back to it with renewed force this weekend. On Fri, Feb 19, 2016 at 11:30 AM, Priedhorsky, Reid <[email protected]<mailto:[email protected]>> wrote: We do have more work in progress to extend the 2014 paper, in particular to mosquito-borne diseases in a Spanish-speaking country, though not Zika because there is insufficient data history. I appreciate the pointer. Are there any specific questions folks would like me to address in this thread? Thanks, Reid _______________________________________________ Analytics mailing list [email protected]<mailto:[email protected]> https://lists.wikimedia.org/mailman/listinfo/analytics _______________________________________________ Analytics mailing list [email protected]<mailto:[email protected]> https://lists.wikimedia.org/mailman/listinfo/analytics
_______________________________________________ Analytics mailing list [email protected] https://lists.wikimedia.org/mailman/listinfo/analytics
