It is a cruel torture to me that I can't reveal the actual numbers.  You all
would probably find them enlightening, but alas...
- Dan

On Thu, Apr 10, 2008 at 3:18 PM, Incognito <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:

>
> Just one quick thought, back in February there were around 750,000
> downloads of the SDK. If you cut it in half to assume that some people
> downloaded it twice (or whatever) we are left with 375,000 unique
> downloads. Right now there are less than 9000 users in the android
> developers group. That is a big difference on the # of people that are
> actually following the discussions. So I think that the reason that we
> are not seeing that many entries is because there aren't that many to
> start with. i.e. There won't be more than 1000 entries but there will
> certainly be around 150 to 300 entries.
>
> On Apr 10, 6:02 pm, Philip <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
> > ne -- number of teams/individuals savvy enough to download Android SDK
> > and Eclipse plugin (may need Eclipse in the first place)
> >
> > --just my guess
> >
> > Philip
> >
> >
> >
> > > > ... I am starting to get the
> > > > feeling that our expectations around the submission numbers are very
> > > > much like the search for extraterrestrial life. We know that based on
> > > > the size of the universe we are PROBABLY not alone...
> >
> > > There is an equation called "Drake equation" which aim
> > > is to estimate the number of extraterrestrial civilizations
> > > in our galaxy with which we might come in contact.
> > > (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Drake_equation)
> >
> > > It is:
> > > N = R * fp * ne * fl * fi * fc * L
> >
> > > where:
> > > N - is the number of civilizations in our galaxy with which we might
> > > hope to be able to communicate
> > > R - is the average rate of star formation in our galaxy
> > > fp - is the fraction of those stars that have planets
> > > ne - is the average number of planets that can potentially support
> > > life per star that has planets
> > > fl - is the fraction of the above that actually go on to develop life
> > > at some point
> > > fi - is the fraction of the above that actually go on to develop
> > > intelligent life
> > > fc - is the fraction of civilizations that develop a technology that
> > > releases detectable signs of their existence into space
> > > L - is the length of time such civilizations release detectable
> > > signals into space
> >
> > > Maybe it is possible to change meaning of these funny
> > > variables, eg.:
> > > N - number of Android Challenge submissions
> > > R - the average rate of people on the Earth
> > > fp - the fraction of those people that have computer at home
> > > ne - ... any idea?
> >
> > > Regards,
> > >     haxahax- Hide quoted text -
> >
> > - Show quoted text -
> >
>

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