App publicity sure is a tough nut to crack. When you think about who
your target audience is and how they will actually find your app in
the market, it's pretty difficult to do anything but hope for random
chance, not a very good marketing scheme.

This new Droid thing from Verizon is going to change the game a bit.
It may get 100,000 sales the first month, perhaps even more, and over
the course of a year, we should see a doubling or tripling of the
number of Android/market capable devices in the hands of users.
Android has gone from a curiosity to a contender.

If the iPhone model is used, then basically the market is the
marketing plan and we're all pretty much stuck with what Google does
with that program. The 2.0 market app might be better, it might be the
same. I've got a good feeling Google will beef up that program
somewhat in the next few months, they have to or risk losing the
confidence of their developer community.

I don't believe there is going to be any traction from alternative
market schemes. They are the 1% solution and as such not worth the
effort. If these alternate market apps aren't included with the
device, very few users are going to download it.

Then there is the pay vs. ad revenue model. With the current ability
of a user to be able to simply back up the app and return it for a
refund, then restore it to their device, or download it from one of
the pirate sites, the pay model is kind of a bust. Until Google allows
the developer to validate the user, it will be fraught with piracy and
cheating. The ad model is good, but the problem is AdSense is severely
restricted (100,000 pageviews a day minimum!) and other schemes like
Admob have such low quality ads, poor performance (slow to load) and a
dubious reputation to make them suspect as well.

My revenue plan is to allow our apps to accumulate users to the
100,000 pageview a day level and then implement AdSense. We've had
great success with that model in the web world and have high hopes for
the Android and AdSense. It may take a long time to reach that level
but with potentially many millions of devices, it won't be forever.

-John Coryat

"Radar Now!"

"What Zip Code?"

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