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PENTAGON RATES N. KOREA, IRAQ AS TOP THREATS

Joyce Howard Price
THE WASHINGTON TIMES

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Deputy Defense Secretary Paul Wolfowitz says the Pentagon
sees North Korea and Iraq as the leading military threats to
the United States in the near future.

"Wars might happen tomorrow in Korea and Iraq," Mr.
Wolfowitz said in a pretaped interview on CNN's "Evans,
Novak, Hunt & Shields" that aired yesterday.

But he made it clear the Department of Defense views North
Korea as the more serious threat, given the United States'
defeat of Iraq in the 1991 Persian Gulf war.

"We face enormous conventional threats from North Korea,"
the department's second-in-command said, before being
interrupted by one of the show's hosts.

Mr. Wolfowitz also identified the Middle East as a possible
flash-point in the near-term. "Iraq is still a potent force.
If the United States weren't there, Saddam Hussein could be
in Riyadh [Saudi Arabia] tomorrow," he said.

"But we know what Iraq can do. We fought that war. We know
their weaknesses. We know our strengths," Mr. Wolfowitz
said.

In fact, he said, the United States "overestimated what we
needed against Saddam Hussein" in the Gulf war, with one
major exception.

That exception, said Mr. Wolfowitz, was this country's
inability to "shoot down those primitive Scud missiles"
launched by Iraq that "killed 24 Americans [in a military
barrack] in Dhahran" and "that almost dragged Israel into
the war."

"The one place where [Saddam] had more capability than we
ever imagined was his ability to keep launching ballistic
missiles," the deputy defense secretary said.

More than a decade after Operation Desert Storm, Mr.
Wolfowitz said, the United States has "finally developed"
the methodology to defend against Scud missiles."

"We're now developing means to intercept the faster missiles
that would come in at intercontinental ranges," he said.

The Bush administration is seeking congressional approval of
a limited national missile defense system to counter
possible missile attacks from "rogue states." Many Democrats
oppose the plan, fearing it would spark an arms race.

However, some leading Democrats have said they may withdraw
their opposition because of an agreement reached last week
between President Bush and Russian President Vladimir Putin.
The two men agreed to enter negotiations that could remove a
major international stumbling block to development of a
multilayered missile defense program. If the negotiations
are successful, it would free the United States and Russia
from constraints imposed under the Anti-Ballistic Missile
(ABM) Treaty they signed in 1972.

The ABM Treaty outlaws the United States and the now defunct
Soviet Union from building missile defense systems. But
Russia now says it would let the United States employ a
missile shield if the United States would reduce its
offensive nuclear weapons stockpiles.

In the CNN interview, Mr. Wolfowitz was asked about claims
made by some critics that the missile defense system Mr.
Bush envisions might wind up costing $100 billion.

"The problem is we're in a development phase. ... Until we
know what works and what doesn't work, I can't give you cost
estimates," Mr. Wolfowitz said.

Nevertheless, he said: "These notions that the missile
defense is going to cost hundreds of billions of dollars are
figments of people's imagination."

Mr. Wolfowitz said he recognizes "it's going to be a battle"
to get Congress to approve the $18.4 billion in added
Pentagon spending the White House is seeking next year. The
Pentagon brass wanted an additional $30 billion.

He listed readiness training, dealing with infrastructure
problems, boosting military pay and investing in missile
defense as top spending priorities for the Pentagon.

"As long as we were constrained by the ABM Treaty, we were
limited from doing those things which would allow us to do
missile defense most efficiently," Mr. Wolfowitz said.


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This article was mailed from The Washington Times
(http://www.washtimes.com/national/20010729-93585441.htm)
For more great articles, visit us at
http://www.washtimes.com

Copyright (c) 2001 News World Communications, Inc. All
rights reserved.

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