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http://www.janes.com/defence/land_forces/news/jdw/jdw010824_1_n.shtml

JANES DEFENCE WEEKLY, Friday, August 24, 2001

Who are the NLA?

By Tim Ripley

Over the past eight months the ethnic Albanian National Liberation Army
(NLA), or Ushtria Clirimitore Kombetare (UCK), has grown from a group of
less than 200 guerrillas into a fighting force of 3,000 fighters,
controlling hundreds of square miles of northern and western Macedonia.
So far the group has withstood several Macedonian army and police
offensives and bounced back to seize even more territory. The haphazard
bombardment of Albanian villages by Macedonian aircraft, helicopter
gunships and artillery has proved a boon to the NLA, prompting a steady
stream of recruits and huge cash donations from the Albanian Diaspora in
Western Europe and North America. By mid-August, when NATO committed
itself to intervening in the conflict to collect rebel arms as part of
the Ohrid peace agreement, the NLA had seized control of a huge swathe
of territory and put the poorly led and equipped government forces
firmly on the defensive.

Origins

The origins of the current conflict stretch back to the secession of
Macedonia from the old Federal Socialist Republic of Yugoslavia in 1991.
While Croatia and Bosnia-Herzegovina were ravaged by war during the
first half of the 1990s, Macedonia managed to gain its independence and
remain largely peaceful, even though relations between the country's
600,000-strong ethnic Albanian population and the 1.4 million ethnic
Macedonian majority were tense.

The event that changed everything was the revolt by ethnic Albanians in
the Serbia-controlled province of Kosovo in 1998. This set in train
sequence of events that threaten to overwhelm Macedonia's precarious
peace. The radicalisation of the Albanian population of Kosovo during
the mid-1990s led to the growth of Albanian nationalism throughout the
former Yugoslavia - in Kosovo, Macedonia, southern Serbia and
Montenegro. Under the banner of the Popular Movement for Kosova (LPK),
ethnic Albanians spread around the Yugoslav successor republics began
demanding their own state or, as it became known, Greater Albania.

Exiled ethnic Albanians living in Western Europe and North America
rallied to the cause, setting up the Homeland Calling fund to finance
the revolt of the LPK's armed wing, the Kosovo Liberation Army (KLA), or
Ushtria Clirimitore e Kosovoes (UCK). Many Albanians from Macedonia also
joined the fight against the Serbs, rising to senior positions in the
LPK and KLA. At the height of the war in early 1999 some 40,000 men were
estimated to fighting with the KLA either inside Kosovo or along the
Albanian border. The force officially disbanded in September 1999 under
pressure from NATO and was reborn as the Kosovo Protection Corps (KPC),
or Trupat Mbroysat Kosoves (TMK), with a disaster relief role.

The Albanian nationalist cause underwent a resurgence in the autumn of
2000 for two main reasons. The demise of the regime of Slobodan
Milosevic in Yugoslavia led to fears that the international community
would do a deal with the new government in Belgrade to deny Kosovo its
independence. At the same time, the poor showing of former LPK and KLA
leaders, such as Ramush Hajredinaj, in the October 2000 Kosovo
administrative elections meant many of them were looking for ways to
re-invigorate the nationalist cause. This, they believed, had been
betrayed by Pristina-based figures such as Hashim Thaci, who are now
closely identified with the international community.

The Ushtria Clirimitore e Presevo, Medvedja, Bujanovic (UCPMB), or
Liberation Army of Presevo, Medvedja, Bujanovic, stepped up its
insurgency in southern Serbia. Meanwhile, plans were laid to mount a
major uprising in Macedonia. The NATO decision in February 2001 to hand
back the Ground Security Zone (GSZ), or buffer zone, along Kosovo's
boundary with Serbia to Yugoslav control further confirmed Albanian
suspicions that the international community was set to betray Kosovo to
Belgrade.

NLA aims

With suspicions that their cause was about to be betrayed, many former
KLA members with family roots in Macedonia therefore decided the time
was ripe to stage their own revolution. This would fulfil two aims:
freeing their countrymen from the rule of the Skopje government; and
driving Albanians in Kosovo back to supporting the nationalist cause.

Members of the Homeland Calling organisation provided funding and
allowed the NLA access to the covert arms dumps in Kosovo and Albania
under their control. A few hundred former KLA fighters of Macedonian
origin began training and organising in the summer of 2000, establishing
training bases and arms caches along the mountainous border between
Kosovo and Macedonia. Albanian villagers on both sides of the border
have close family ties, and they proved to be a fertile source of
recruits.

The group's strategy was first to stage a series of hit-and-run attacks
on Macedonian police and army bases to advertise their existence and
attract recruits. Then a more widespread series of attacks would be
launched to secure control of a 'liberated zone', which would became a
haven for fighters battling to free ethnic Albanian regions of
Macedonia.

Leadership and structure

The NLA leadership at first kept its activities highly secret to prevent
counter action by either the NATO-led Kosovo Force (KFOR) or the
Macedonian security forces. During late 2000 rumours began circulating
of a group calling itself the Armaj Kombetare Shiqitare (AKSh), or
Albanian National Army (ANA), mounting attacks on Macedonian police
posts along the border with Kosovo, but this group remained in the
shadows and was subsequently eclipsed by the NLA in January 2001. The
ANA group grew out of a split within the ranks of the LPK in the late
1990s and has since claimed responsibility for a series of attacks in
Macedonia, culminating in the 8 August truck ambush in which at least 10
Macedonian soldiers died. Inside Macedonia it has little influence among
local ethnic Albanian commanders, who all universally claim allegiance
to the NLA, but it remains an indication that the leadership of the
rebels could be divided about how to go forward.

The choice of the name, NLA or UCK, by the Macedonian-based rebel group
is no accident and it is meant to signify the continuity of the struggle
from the original KLA. The leadership of the NLA is still shrouded in
mystery, with its leaders and spokesmen adopting noms de guerre when
they meet Western journalists. So far a number - including Emrush
Xhemali, the former security chief of KLA leader Hashim Thaci - have
been identified as senior leaders. The ultra-nationalists' Swiss-based
leader, Fazli Veliu, has been named in media reports as the chief
financier of the rebellion. He remains president of the LPK. The renamed
Liria Kombetare (National Freedom) fund has replaced Homeland Calling as
the main source of money for the NLA. Adverts for fundraising events are
regularly placed in the Swiss-based Albanian newspaper Bota Sot. Vaxhid
Sedjiu is the LPK's director of fundraising in Switzerland.

Aid money is taken to Kosovo and Macedonia by personal couriers. Western
intelligence agencies believe the NLA has amassed a war chest of $60
million from the Albanian Diaspora over the last six months.

Inside Macedonia the leadership is centred on the mountains above Tetovo
in the village of Sipkovica. Ali Ahmeti, a KLA founder of Macedonian
origin who has links to Ramush Hajredinaj, has taken on the role of
political spokesman and negotiator with NATO. A senior KLA commander,
Gezim Ostremi, deserted from his post as TMK chief of staff early in
2001 to take over as NLA chief of staff. Former Macedonian member of
parliament Hisni Shaqiri also has a political/propaganda role. Over in
the east, in the Black Mountains, Commander Mala is the main leader,
along with his deputy, Commander Sokoli. This group has strong links to
the family of murdered moderate KLA leader Commander Dreni from Prizren
in Kosovo. Commander Hoxha, another KLA veteran, has a roving role of
'NLA inspector', overseeing major operations such as the seizure of
Aracinovo in June.

Control of territory

The first incident attributed to the NLA was a mortar attack on a remote
Macedonian police station at Tearce on 22 January 2001, which left one
policemen dead and three injured. A month later NLA units and the
Macedonian police fought a two-hour gun battle in the mountain-top
village of Tanusevci on the border with Kosovo in the heart of the Black
Mountain region. It is believed this was an unplanned incident after a
NLA column was intercepted by the Macedonian police. As fighting
escalated, the NLA seized a number of villages in the area. Only around
200 NLA fighters were believed to have been involved in the fighting at
this stage.

Over the next six months the NLA expanded massively as it gained control
of even more territory. By mid April it overtly controlled the Black
Mountain area north of Skopje, centred on the villages of Lipkovo,
Slupcane and Nikustak. The heartland of the NLA is the high mountains to
the west of Tetovo, along the Kosovo and Albanian borders. In July the
NLA swept down from the mountains into the predominantly Albanian city
of Tetovo and into the valley to the east. A string of Albanian villages
rallied to the cause and NLA fighters moved on to the Zeden feature
between Tetovo and Skopje, capturing the border town of Raduse. These
offensives left government forces isolated in Tetovo and a number of
small garrisons around the town and at Vratnica, which could only be
re-supplied by helicopter.

Until the 8 August ambush the NLA chose not to cut the main
Tetovo-Skopje highway, but its units demonstrated they had the ability
to do so if necessary.

To conduct these operations the NLA massively expanded its force
structure to absorb the new recruits entering its ranks from within
Macedonia, Kosovo, Albania and the Diaspora. By early August the NLA
boasted six brigades: 111, 113 and 114 Brigades were operating the Black
Mountain region; 112 Brigade is in control of a number of 'battalions'
in Tetevo; to the south, 116 Brigade is based around Gostivar, although
it has not so far overtly attempted to take control of the town (which
has an 80% Albanian population); while 115 Brigade is believed to be
located in Albanian villages overlooking the capital, Skopje, and its
vital power station. The NLA has pushed units far into the mountains
south of Skopje, although they have so far not overtly declared control
of territory in this strategic region.

NLA brigades are a mix of KLA veterans, who provide the command cadre
and experienced fighters, and local volunteers integrated into the
ranks. Local men and boys are then recruited to provide logistic
support, medical help and other administrative tasks. Villagers,
meanwhile, provide food for the fighters. Diaspora groups linked to
localities provide the funds and expertise to buy and smuggle arms to
specific brigades.

The NLA arsenal

NLA arms have come from a variety of sources, including the hundreds of
thousands of weapons looted from Albanian army armouries in 1997. West
and Eastern European black markets have been tapped, as well some
unusual sources. Uniforms have been made in factories in Yugoslavia and
black market purchases made from corrupt officials in the Zastava arms
factory in Serbia. There have also been reports of truck convoys into
Macedonia from Bulgaria. During the failed Macedonian police attack to
relieve Radusa in early August, government forces had to abandon a T-55
tank and two armoured personnel carriers (a TM 170 and a BTR), which
were captured by the NLA and pressed into service against their former
owners.

The main arms import routes are via Albania. KFOR's Operation Eagle has
recently begun to be a major headache for the NLA, which has lost 2000
weapons and 180,000 rounds ammunition to NATO patrols. The anarchic
nature of Albania, however, means the NLA has a very secure supply line
to western Macedonia.

Estimates of the NLA arsenal are very difficult to make, with many
Western intelligence agencies completely in the dark about its
activities. Weapons known to be in the NLA inventory include 9M32
Strella-2M (SA-7B 'Grail' Mod 1) manportable surface-to-air missiles
(SAMs), 120mm and 82mm mortars, rocket-propelled grenades, light
anti-tank rockets, 12.7mm heavy machine guns as well as assorted light
machine guns and AK-type assault rifles. Land mines and demolition
charges have also been used to great effect. The NLA has managed to hold
on to all the territory it has captured in spite of heavy government
attacks, killing just under 70 members of the security forces for the
loss of only a couple of dozen of its fighters at the most.

As far as heavy weapons are concerned, it is estimated by Western
sources that the NLA has around 40 mortars and just a handful of SAMs.
Small arms are impossible to measure, since every Albanian man in most
northern and western villages possesses some kind of weapon. The NLA has
been estimated to have 2,000 hardcore fighters and a similar number of
volunteers, all of whom have access to some type of weapon.

Conclusion

With the signing of the Ohrid peace deal the NLA has reached a crucial
turning point. Over the next few weeks it will have to make crucial
decisions on whether it is to go along with the accord and disarm,
before entering the internal Macedonian political process, or if it is
to continue its struggle for wider Albanian nationalist aims. What is
clear is that it is now making these decisions from a position of
strength. With Western policymakers now having to take the NLA into
account, it has proved it can shape events in the Balkans.

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