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Trud
No. 186
September 13, 2001
[translation from RIA Novosti for personal use only]
RUSSIAN INTELLIGENCE ON AMERICAN TRAGEDY
By Nikolai DOLGOPOLOV
Colonel-General Sergei LEBEDEV, Director of the Russian
Foreign Intelligence Service, usually does not comment on world
events - for understandable reasons. But he made an exception
this time.
"The tragic events in New York and Washington confirmed
the global nature of the threat of terrorism and the need to
pool efforts to combat it," Lebedev said. "The Foreign
Intelligence Service is maintaining close contacts with the
secret services of the USA and partners from West European,
Middle and Near Eastern countries. The main goal of these
contacts is to expose and prevent potential terrorist acts."
The opinion of Major-General of intelligence Yuri DROZDOV,
the founding father of the legendary Vympel group, which is
successfully fighting terrorists of all stripes, carries
special weight today. Besides, the general knows very well
about the methods of operation of the US secret services,
because he had worked in the USA for a long time.
Question: How could this happen in the USA, whose security
services are among the world's best?
Answer: We can assume that the adversary was perfectly
aware of the typically American weaknesses. They exploited them
and provoked an international catastrophe.
Question: But who could organise and orchestrate such
unprecedented slaughter so skilfully?
Answer: I can tell you one thing. US manuals, which I know
well, say that a group of seven trained people can disrupt the
normal operation of human and industrial mass of up to half a
million people.
Question: But if even manuals stipulate the notion of real
danger, why did the secret services fail?
Answer: The tragedy confirmed that the secret services,
created for the express purpose of ensuring security, did not
work well enough. This is a weakness. But the main thing is
that arrogance in the operation of secret services and neglect
of the adversary always result in major miscalculations.
Question: The US intelligence gets 30 billion dollars a
year, but it is said the USA is enamoured with technical, in
particular satellite, types of intelligence.
Answer: You know, certain documents have appeared that
point in the opposite direction. The recruitment of agents will
remain the top priority of intelligence. But the powerful
technical facilities should have ensured maximum protection
from potential terrorist acts. Alas...
Question: Who could order the shattering tragedy?
Answer: This is not the time for hasty conclusions. It is
apparent that the action was carefully coordinated and
prepared, with the goals and methods of attaining them clearly
defined and orchestrated. I would not like to say this about
bandits, but I will have to. They acted highly professionally.
And their action was prepared for a very long time.
Question: Can one forecast the direction of the
terrorists' strike and forestall them?
Answer: This is concerned with a package of problems, with
a great number of components. The notion of the protection of
territory. The migration laws. The monitoring of people's
movement. Proceeding from American documents concerned with
these problems, one can assume that they include similar
miscalculations and failures. Take the evaluation of the global
situation. Are their forecasts of crises, big and small wars
and regional clashes correct? Of what is happening and what can
happen on our territory? If they evaluate the situation from a
certain angle, they themselves are involved to a degree in the
developments.
The American tragedy calls for an in-depth political,
specialised analysis so that, God forbid, they would not have
to say next time: "Guys, you flopped again." In conclusion I
would like to offer my condolences and the condolences of my
colleagues for the dead and injured.
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