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When the Carter Administation and its foreign policy
chiefs State Department Secretary Cyrus Vance and
National Security Advisor Zbigniew Brzezinski bought
off Mohammed Siad Barre in 1978, access to Horn of
Africa fossil fuels was a a key consideration.
As were weaning Somalia away from the Non-Aligned
Movement and the Soviet Union, turning Barre against
Ethiopia, Djibouti and then South Yemen - who were
openly proposing a joint Horn union - and establishing
Carter's Rapid Deployment Force in Somalia and Egypt.
All objectives were accomplished, with the bloody
Ogaden Desert War as the first result and all the
resultant bloodshed over the past quarter century to
ensue.
The strategically vital Horn of Africa/Red Sea/Persian
Gulf area then became an American sphere of control.
As for current Western interests in Somali oil and
natural gas, they should be seen in the context of the
tactical considerations of the moment.
Given the revived campaign to "lessen dependence on
Arab oil" - and Somalia, though not ethnically Arab,
is Arabically-speaking and a member of the Arab League
- they may be on the back burner for a while.
The above campaign, dutifully echoed in much of the
nominally left press since Septembet 11, is largely
the result of - we have to be honest - the Israel
Lobby, which is why many of its major spokesmen,
including Wolfowitz, Joseph Lieberman and Richard
Perle, are so vocal on the issue.
The focus then, if 'Arab oil interests' are to be
sidelined, is on the Caspian Sea Basin, Central Asia
and South America.
Practically, this means construction of the
Turkmenistan-Afghanistan-Pakistan overland pipeline
from the Caspian to the Arabian Sea/Indian Ocean; the
Baku-Tbilisi-Ceyhan-Adriatic pipeline into the
Balkans;  a Vietnam-style war in Colombia and a
Chile-style destabilization/coup effort in Venezuela
to gain control of South American petroleum.
Somali energy reserves may be second tier at this
point, though never off the drawing board.
 


  


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