From: "Irina Malenko" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> 
Reply-to: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Date: Wed, 13 Mar 2002 07:37:52 +0000

http://www.therussianissues.com/print/13193.html

The Russian Issues
March 12, 2002

Russia Included in "Axis of Evil" (Nezavisimaya
Gazeta) 

During the past several weeks the West has been
steadily toughening its policy in respect to Russia.
Moreover, this is being done in several key areas
simultaneously. It is difficult to shake off the
impression that some kind of comprehensive scene is
being played out, the finale of which is aimed at
seriously undermining Russia's positions on the world
stage.

Two months after the Pentagon submitted its plan to
reorganize the country's nuclear forces to Congress,
Washington resorted to a move that can only be viewed
as propagandistic. Through The Los Angeles Times, it
reminded the world that Russia not only remains the
target of nuclear, possibly "preemptive," strikes.
Russia has also been included in the ranks of the
so-called "rogue" states that form the "axis of evil,"
which now includes not three, but seven countries.

So, it turns out that the thesis that triggered an
acute allergic reaction around the world, including
among America's allies, was by no means a "slip of the
tongue" by the president's speechwriter. The latter
has already been sacked. Apparently, the "axis"
itself, however, has been extended.

The leak of "delicate" information that has been
organized in the American press only continues the
list of the West's conspicuously consistent steps. The
scandal around the Russian athletes at the Salt Lake
Olympics, the introduction of higher tariffs on
imported steel, and the large-scale NATO maneuvers in
Norway and Poland are all steps of various caliber
aimed, nonetheless, at one target. Russia's
international status is being destroyed before our
very eyes. Moreover, Moscow obviously lacks the
ability and perhaps the resources for reacting to all
this in a comprehensive and flexible manner.

Russia's attempt to get into a "side-seat" as the 20th
chair in the NATO Council boomeranged into a very
tough rebuke from NATO chief George Robertson: even
though there had been periodical instances of
cooperation with Moscow on a number of pressing
issues, it was made clear that the Alliance had no
intentions of changing its lineup.

Russia has only just managed to hurriedly fold up its
campaign of self-deceit in the media. Apparently, this
campaign was aimed at demonstrating to the public, as
well as to the country's leadership, the "successes"
of the rapprochement with the West after the September
11 events.

A new series of steps has followed lately. Instead of
the "moderate" variant of enlarging NATO by four or
five new members that Zbigniew Brzezinsky had spoken
about, Czech President Vaclav Havel is insisting on a
list of seven new "recruits." The host of the next
summit has added Bulgaria and Romania to the Baltic
countries, Slovenia and Slovakia.

At the same time, Robertson himself, as well as NATO
Parliamentary Assembly Vice President Markus Meckel,
made it clear to the Slovaks that if they wanted NATO
membership, they should get rid of Vladimir Meciar, a
politician that has plans to run for the premiership
and who is considered untrustworthy in the West.

Brussels intends to leave no stone unturned to close
the gap in its ranks - a gap through which Russian
influence seeped time and again, not without Meciar's
assistance. And so, in order to rapidly consolidate
Slovakia's pro-western, Washington has decided to send
an FBI team there. According to Slovak Vice President
Pal Csaky, Bratislava is eagerly awaiting such
assistance.

And last but not least, Albania, Macedonia and Croatia
have also requested NATO membership this year at the
recent meeting of foreign ministers from the countries
of the "Vilnius Ten." Macedonian Foreign Minister
Slobodan Casule argues that it would be extremely
dangerous to leave Europe's southeastern flank open
without NATO's accountability until the next wave of
enlargement. NATO's triumph in the Balkans is quite
apparent.

At the same time, the Finns have also made a sharp
turn in order to get closer to NATO. Transport
Minister Kimmo Sasi last week announced that Helsinki
plans to officially declare its intentions to join the
North Atlantic Alliance in 2004. And Sweden has
clearly embarked on a pro-NATO course, in connection
with which the authorities of the Scandinavian
country plan to radically review their military
doctrine.

As a result, Russia's line of contact with NATO
members will stretch practically from the Black Sea to
the Barents Sea. Consequently, the waters and ports of
the Baltic area will become "friendly" both for
American and British naval ships.

If Moscow intends to respond with countermeasures of a
military nature, it would be interesting to know where
it will get the resources However, if Moscow fails to
take any action, then within the next couple of years
one may expect radical military-political changes in
Russia itself.

That such changes will follow seem all the more
probable because speaker of the Georgian Parliament,
Nino Burdzhanadze, announced that NATO intends to
seriously continue its efforts to provide for
Georgia's security after meeting with Robertson at the
end of last week. The planned participation of NATO's
European forces in the operation in Pankisis Gorge is
seen as the beginning of those efforts.

More than that, the Georgian leadership, according to
Presidential Adviser Shalva Pichkhadze, does not
intend to stop there. The adviser reaffirmed that more
profound military cooperation between Tbilisi and
Washington should facilitate Georgia's accession to
NATO.


The adviser reaffirmed that more profound military
cooperation between Tbilisi and Washington should
facilitate Georgia's accession to NATO. 
Such prospects have apparently "inspired" the Chechen
separatists as well. According to Nezavisimaya Gazeta,
they have already taken a tougher negative stand in
respect to talks with Moscow, the possibilities for
which the Russian capital has been actively probing
recently. Now it seems that the desire to seek
compromises may pass into oblivion for good.

More than that, on March 7, representatives of
Chechnya and the West took a step that has all the
chances of becoming a turning point. At The Hague,
President Aslan Maskhadov's representative, Akhmed
Zakayev, discussed the possibility of establishing a
similar international tribunal for Chechnya with the
chief prosecutor of the War Crimes Tribunal for
Yugoslavia, Carla del Ponte. Such a tribunal would
look into the actions of the Russian forces during the
anti-terrorist operation. Apparently, the West intends
to raise the problem of Chechnya to a new
international legal level. Probably, this gave Zakayev
reason to declare, "We are part of Europe, and so,
Europe and the rest of the West must be part of the
solution."

This year seems to be turning out to be a
history-making year as far as the West's relations
with Russia are concerned. But so far, only one side
is displaying any initiative.



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