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['ultra rightists' demand immediate genocide, 'conservatives' favour a 
more gradual approach while the labour 'doves' plea for moderation]



Rightists quit Israel's unity government


By Charles A. Radin, Globe Staff, 3/12/2002

EL AVIV - The political partners that advocate the hardest line against 
Palestinians in the occupied territories withdrew last night from Prime 
Minister Ariel Sharon's national unity coalition, a development that 
many political activists and analysts said marked the beginning of the 
end of Sharon's political life. 

 

The revolt on the right occurred despite stepped-up sweeps of 
Palestinian cities and refugee camps by the Israel Defense Forces, 
including an incursion late last night into Gaza's Jabalya camp, where 
Reuters reported that 17 Palestinians were killed.

The Israel Beiteinu, Tekuma, and Moledet parties have only seven votes 
in the Knesset, but their withdrawal from the coalition led by Sharon's 
Likud party dramatically changes the balance of power.

Previously, the Labor party, whose members advocate greater efforts at 
negotiation and conciliation with the Palestinians, lacked the ability 
to topple the national unity coalition. With the far right parties out, 
it now has that power. 

The right-wing parties withdrew from the government after it took steps 
to loosen restrictions on Palestinian leader Yasser Arafat and to soften 
Israeli conditions for resuming negotiations with the Palestinians. 
Subsequently, Sharon and his foreign and defense ministers, both of whom 
are Labor party members, said last night that they would stop using F-16 
fighter jets against targets in the territories.

Observers across the political spectrum said the moves to defuse the 
confrontation with Palestinian leaders while clamping down on 
lower-level militants were an effort to put Israel firmly in alignment 
with the United States, as Mideast envoy Anthony Zinni and Vice 
President Dick Cheney begin new Mideast initiatives. 

The sustained, intensive military sweeps were directed against known 
strongholds of terrorist and militant groups, some of which, like Hamas, 
reject Israel's right to exist.

Before last night's assault on Jabalya, a Hamas stronghold, six 
Palestinians were killed, and more than 1,100 were arrested in the West 
Bank City of Qalqilya, in the Deheisheh refugee camp in Bethlehem, and 
in the Bureij camp in the Gaza Strip, according to Palestinian and 
Israeli military sources.

An army spokeswoman said that most of those arrested would be released 
after questioning. Of 444 arrested in Tulkarem last weekend, she said, 
only 66 remained in custody, and some of those would be released today.

''Sharon may now be at the end of his road,'' said Shlomo Avineri, a 
former director general of the Foreign Ministry who is now professor of 
political science at Hebrew University in Jerusalem. ''He is a low-risk 
politician, and for the last year he tried to stay on an even keel by 
not taking risky steps for peace and not taking risky steps with the 
security situation.''

Gerald Steinberg, director of the program in conflict management at Tel 
Aviv's Bar Ilan University, said that now ''Sharon is taking a huge 
risk, because a lot can go wrong.'' But Steinberg called it a prudent 
risk, because of recent political and military changes. 

The escalation of violence by both sides in recent weeks has ended any 
chance of maintaining the previous domestic equilibrium, say many 
analysts and officials. Sharon's only political hope, they say, is a 
cease-fire brokered by Zinni, who returns to the region later this week, 
followed by American success in what is widely assumed here to be an 
impending strike at Iraq's Saddam Hussein.

''Sharon's policies have been consistent since he was elected: maintain 
the broadest possible government of national unity, particularly with 
Labor, and work as closely as possible with the United States,'' 
Steinberg said. 

He and other analysts said that, in the long term, Israeli security is 
more dependent on US action in Iraq than on the current struggle with 
the Palestinians.

If Saddam Hussein is killed or ousted, the Palestinians will lose one of 
their strongest supporters, and the balance of power in the region will 
be as it was following the Gulf War, when, as some analysts see it, 
pro-peace Palestinians gained the initiative over militants, because the 
Palestinian military position was so weak.

''The Palestinians were on the wrong side'' in the Gulf War of 1991, and 
''it cost them a lot,'' Steinberg said. ''Some Palestinians do 
understand they can't afford to have that happen again.''

The other side of that calculation, said Yuval Steinitz, an increasingly 
popular member of the Knesset from Sharon's Likud party, is that ''if 
the Americans believe cessation of [Palestinian-Israeli] violence is a 
precondition for attacking Iraq and Arafat can prevent that cessation, 
it will be a great help to Saddam Hussein and others who do not want to 
see the Americans attack.''

There are deep divisions among Israeli military and civilian officials 
about both the assaults on the centers of Palestinian militancy and the 
softer line toward Arafat and the leadership group.

A senior Foreign Ministry source affiliated with neither Likud nor 
Labor, who spoke on condition of anonymity, said last night that there 
is a growing acceptance in government that ''our retaliation and 
prevention program has been counterproductive.''

''It is exacerbating the situation,'' the source said. ''Our task now is 
to rebuild the ability of the Palestinian Authority to operate.''

Sharon, he said, ''has realized he cannot out-Bibi Bibi'' - hardline 
former prime minister Benyamin ''Bibi'' Netanyahu, who advocates 
dismantling the Palestinian Authority - ''and that he can only win if he 
achieves a cease-fire.''

Yet the prime minister cannot risk the loss of his base in the Likud and 
among Likud supporters in the broader population, 60,000 of whom 
gathered in Tel Aviv's Rabin Square last night clamoring for a united 
national drive for strength and victory.

''Sharon is a pragmatist,'' said Efraim Inbar, director of Bar Ilan 
University's Begin-Sadat Center for Strategic Studies. His concessions 
toward Arafat are meant both to satisfy the United States and to respond 
to ''Israeli public opinion that wants both a more forceful Israel and a 
national unity government.''

''He is a shrewd politician,'' Inbar said, setting the stage to 
negotiate, on behalf of a national unity government of Likud and Labor, 
''a cease-fire that he does not believe will be implemented by Arafat.''

Charles A. Radin can be reached at [EMAIL PROTECTED]

This story ran on page A1 of the Boston Globe on 3/12/2002.
© Copyright 2002 Globe Newspaper Company. 

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