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Russian population to shrink by 30% to about 100 million people by 2050
- 

Statistics

MOSCOW. March 27 (Interfax) - Russia's population is expected to shrink
by 
30% to 101.9 million people by the end on 2050, the Russian State
Statistics 
Committee said, referring to the most probable forecast of the
development of 
the country's demographic situation. 
   Statistics experts have estimated that the country's entire
population 
will fall from the current 144 million to 131 million by 2020, to 121.5 
million by 2030, to 111.6 million by 2040 and to 101.9 by 2050. 
   The Russian State Statistics Committee has also worked out best- case
and 
worst-case scenarios of the development of the country's demographic 
situation, with all of them saying that the Russian population will drop
by 
2050. Even if Russia's demographic situation develops under the
best-case 
scenario, the country's population will fall to 122.6 million people by
2050 
and to 77.2 million people or by almost 47% from the current figure,
under 
the worst-case scenario. 
   As the fall in the country's male population will be more significant
than 
that of the female population, the male to female ratio will worsen by
2050. 
According to the most probable scenario, the male population will fall
by 
32.2 %, compared with a 27.4% decline in the female population. 
   The number of economically active people of the total Russian
population 
is expected to grow in the first half of the current century and reach
its 
peak by 2006-2008, which is to be followed by a decline. The current 
economically active population stands at 60.1% and is expected to rise
to 
63.2% by 2005, with a fall to 57.9% by 2020 and to 49.7% by 2050. 
   All scenarios forecast that the Russian population will continue to
grow 
older, with the number of pensioners to grow to 35.2% by 2050 from the 
current 20.6%. 
   The life expectancy of Russian men is expected to rise to 62.5 years
by 
2020 from the current 59, and to 66.3 years by 2050. The average female
life 
expectancy rate will rise to 74.4 years by 2020 from the current 72.2
and to 
77.7 years by 2050. 

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