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[Rhetoric 101: Which is the more likely prospect?]

AFP  
Thursday March 28, 21:37 PM  
Al-Qaeda preparing to strike again: US intelligence
experts
US intelligence officials said they were convinced
Al-Qaeda terrorists were preparing to strike again, in
comments in the Italian press, a day after Washington
warned its citizens in Italy of possible threats on
Easter Sunday.
"We Americans and Europeans have to stress the
prevention of attacks. We are moving towards a new
terrorist season," Marvin Cetron, a consultant with
the US intelligence agency CIA, told the Italian daily
Corriere della Sera.
"Al-Qaeda, its accomplices and followers are in the
process of regrouping themselves," he said Thursday.
Cetron's concerns were echoed by the former head of
the CIA's Counterterrorism unit, in an interview with
the newspaper La Stampa.
"US intelligence services are convinced that Al-Qaeda
will strike in the course of the coming weekend or in
any case within a few weeks, to coincide with
Passover," the Jewish festival which began Wednesday,
Vincent Cannistraro said.
The warnings come after US Secretary of State Colin
Powell warned US nationals travelling in Italy to be
particuarly careful because of possible terrorist
threats in four Italian cities over the Easter
holiday.
"There is a higher threat level in Italy," Powell said
Wednesday. 
Earlier, the State Department and the US embassy in
Rome issued identical statements saying they had
received credible information that "extremist groups"
were planning possible attacks against Americans in
Venice, Florence, Milan and Verona on Easter Sunday.
Cetron said Italy was a primary target for attacks
because of the presence of the Vatican and because of
problems with illegal immigration and its proximity to
the Balkans, "where numerous extremist groups can be
found."
Both experts excluded an attack similar to September
11 of last year, when hijackers crashed four airliners
into New York's World Trade Center, the Pentagon
outside Washington, and rural Pennsylvania.
Al-Qaeda and its head, fugitive Saudi extremist Osama
bin Laden, are blamed for the attacks, which left
around 3,000 people dead.
Cannistraro said the attacks being prepared were
simliar to one in the southern Egyptian tourist resort
of Luxor, where Islamic fundamentalists opened fire on
visitors in November 1997, killing 58 people.
He said the attacks would likely not be suicide
missions, but instead could target people in the
street and the attackers could use regular weapons.
Italian authorities have sought to reassure the public
following the US warning. "I've decided to split my
Easter vacation between Venice and Florence with my
family," Interior Minister Claudio Scajola said. 
 

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