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http://www.fpif.org/commentary/2002/0203indhind.html
Foreign Policy in Focus
[March 27, 2002]

Is India going the way of 1930s Germany?
By Arun R Swamy

The recent rounds of violence between religious groups in India do 
more than reveal the fragility of India's secular state. They 
highlight the inability of Indian democracy to combat what is 
essentially a fascist onslaught.

At first glance what is happening in India appears to be another - if 
extreme - case of religious passion gone awry. A train carrying Hindu 
activists from the disputed religious site of Ayodhya was firebombed 
by a mob, killing 58 of the activists. Several days of revenge 
attacks by Hindus against Muslims followed in the state of Gujarat, 
killing more than 700.

However, India's Hindu nationalists have always resembled 1930s 
European fascists more than they do contemporary "fundamentalists". 
Members of the core organization of Hindu nationalism, the Rashtriya 
Swayamsevak Sangh (RSS), founded in the 1920s, are given paramilitary 
instruction, not religious, and wear khaki uniforms reminiscent of 
Mussolini's brownshirts. While the Vishwa Hindu Parishad (VHP), 
founded in the 1960s, is mainly concerned with religion, it still 
does not prescribe how Hindus should worship or behave - an 
impossible task given the diversity of Hindu religious practice.
Instead, like all Hindu nationalists, it is bent on characterizing 
Muslims as alien and hostile while seeking to unify Hindus around a 
romantic nationalism, in which military prowess plays a central role. 
Hindu nationalists' emphasis on international prestige has won them 
the support of the Westernized middle class, typically the target of 
Islamic fundamentalism. Their focus on demonizing Muslims rather than 
promoting Hinduism is illustrated even by the dispute over Ayodhya, 
where extremist Hindu groups destroyed a 16th-century Muslim mosque 
in 1992, sparking nationwide sectarian riots in which more than 2,000 
people died.

Hindu nationalists claim that a temple on the same site honoring the 
birthplace of the Hindu deity, Rama, was torn down to make way for 
the mosque. For Hindu extremist groups, the claim that a temple was 
torn down to build a mosque - for which there is no concrete evidence 
- was at least as important as the claim that Rama was born at the 
site. The destruction of the mosque was commonly spoken of in terms 
of retaking territory that had been lost to invaders.

Hindu nationalists have identified other mosques that they wish to 
destroy, claiming that these, too, were built on temple sites. For 
none do they claim the sanctity associated with the birthplace of 
Rama. Indeed, the purpose of claiming a particular site as Rama's 
birthplace - for which there is no basis in theology or tradition - 
was to justify tearing down the existing mosque.

It is this fascist ideology, and the fact that a party espousing it 
is at the head of the national government, that makes the recent 
anti-Muslim pogroms in Gujarat so much more disturbing than earlier 
rounds of riots. As horrific as the recent violence was, more died in 
1992. But the political establishment's response this time has been 
ambivalent and feeble. The paralysis in the political system is 
emboldening the Hindu extremist organizations responsible for the 
Gujarat "riots" to press their agenda more forcefully. There are 
times when India seems to resemble Germany in the 1920s and early 
1930s.

The analogy to the rise of Hitler is not one that should be made 
lightly, but there are many parallels. The Gujarat attacks were not 
spontaneous expressions of mob rage but were highly organized and 
brutally efficient, probably identifying Muslim homes and businesses 
through the use of public records. The state government was almost 
certainly complicit in the wave of violence that affected the entire 
state and saw no effort by the police to control it. The central 
government was slow to dispatch the army, and has attempted to put 
the focus on the train attack, for which they blame Pakistani 
intelligence.

The state government initially sought to limit judicial inquiry to 
investigating the train attack, to use its emergency powers only 
against those accused of the train attack, and to offer higher levels 
of compensation to the (Hindu) victims of the train attack on the 
grounds that they were victims of terrorism. Even many liberal 
intellectuals and politicians, whose protests forced the state 
government to retract some of these measures, have tacitly accepted 
the idea that several days of targeted anti-Muslim violence can be 
equated with the attack on the train, and even resulted from it.
Worse, there has been no effort by those in power to hold those 
responsible for the Gujarat attacks accountable. The national 
government, run by the same party as the state government, the 
Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP), has chosen not to use its 
constitutional authority to take over the state's administration 
despite having attempted last year to do so on law and order grounds 
in another, opposition-ruled state. Although the government has 
banned militant Islamic groups, it has ignored calls by parties both 
in the opposition and in its own coalition to do this to Hindu 
extremist organizations. The involvement of these organizations in 
the Gujarat violence is widely attested to, and they were banned 
after they tore down the Ayodhya mosque in 1992.

Worse still, even after the Gujarat riots the government negotiated 
with the VHP over its plans to begin construction of a temple on the 
disputed site. The compromise involved an official in the Prime 
Minister's Office accepting possession of two pillars intended for 
inclusion in the temple structure. Even though this seriously 
compromised the Indian state's claims to religious neutrality, the 
government has congratulated itself for defusing a potentially 
explosive situation.

To be sure, the government is in a tight spot. BJP members of 
parliament have expressed outrage at the government's refusal to let 
temple construction proceed until the Supreme Court rules on the 
subject. However, statements and actions by Hindu extremist 
organizations since suggest that they have been emboldened by the 
concessions the government has made. Over the weekend of March 15, 
members of several right-wing Hindu organizations stormed and sacked 
the legislative assembly of the state of Orissa for unknown reasons, 
while the RSS warned Indian Muslims that their safety depended on the 
goodwill of the Hindu majority. The next week the VHP indicated that 
it had plans to carry the ashes of the train attack victims in 
processions throughout the country - an act calculated to incite mob 
fury. It later disavowed its plans when many of the BJP's coalition 
allies threatened to pull out of the coalition if the plans were 
carried through.

The opposition parties and some of the BJP's coalition allies have 
succeeded in checking the VHP to some degree. They have called for 
Hindu extremist organizations to be banned, and condemned the 
compromise with the VHP over the performance of the temple ceremony, 
as well as the attack on the Orissa assembly and the RSS' statement 
on Muslims. In addition to blocking the alleged plans to carry the 
ashes of Hindus killed in the train attack in a procession many have 
threatened to withdraw their support if the Ayodhya temple is built. 
The BJP leadership has promised to abide by the Supreme Court's 
ruling on the temple site. However, the VHP can undertake many 
provocative acts short of actually constructing the temple and has 
announced plans for more religious ceremonies centering on the temple 
issue around the country. There is a limit to how many battles the 
allies can fight and win from within the government.

The BJP's allies have been reluctant to withdraw from the government 
and indeed voted with the government in passing a Prevention of 
Terrorism Bill that will significantly weaken protections for civil 
liberties including allowing confessions extorted from prisoners by 
police to be admitted as evidence. The act, the provisions of which 
are currently in operation as an executive order, was defeated in the 
Upper House of parliament where the opposition parties are in a 
majority, but it then passed in an unusual joint session of 
parliament. During the acrimonious debate, two former prime ministers 
charged that the existing ordinance was used selectively against 
Muslims in Gujarat, while the current leader of the opposition, Sonia 
Gandhi, argued that the law would be used by the national government 
to intimidate its opponents and divide the country.

Short-term political calculations keep the government in power. Most 
of the BJP's allies are regional parties. The opposition Congress 
Party, which has won a string of recent elections, is their local 
rival. Similar divisions between the Congress and other opposition 
parties have also hindered efforts to form an alternate coalition. 
Indeed, some opposition parties are gravitating toward the government 
out of tactical considerations even as some of its allies pull away 
from it. Meanwhile, the two communist parties, outwardly the most 
opposed to the BJP, have announced that they would refuse to support 
a Congress government because of differences with that party's 
economic policy.

This combination of organized thugs affiliated with the ruling party 
who terrorize a minority community and intimidate a silent majority, 
with a divided opposition in which the center is getting squeezed 
from both sides, is only the most obvious parallel to Germany in the 
early 1930s. Over the past few years, the BJP has tried to reshape 
the secondary-school curriculum by stealth in ways that fit with 
Hindu nationalist ideology and has presided over the slow 
militarization of the polity. By casting the Pakistan-supported 
insurgency in Kashmir as a crisis of national security, military 
expenditures have been increased while social welfare expenses have 
been cut. The command structure of the armed forces, which were kept 
divided for decades to ensure civilian control, has been unified in 
recent years. With the passage of the Prevention of Terrorism Bill, 
the government will have most of the tools it requires to gradually 
reduce the space for dissent.

There are many factors that could prevent this from happening. The 
Supreme Court has blocked both the VHP's plans for Ayodhya and the 
release of new textbooks following the social-studies curricula. The 
National Human Rights Commission, which in India has some judicial 
powers, has rejected the Gujarat government's initial report on the 
riots as "perfunctory" and demanded a more thorough accounting. With 
the opposition parties controlling the presidency, Upper House of 
parliament, most state governments, and therefore the electoral 
college for electing the next president this summer, it would be 
difficult for the BJP to significantly alter the constitutional 
balance or to declare a state of national emergency. Moreover, the 
government has a stake in preserving India's credentials as a secular 
state, in order to maintain US pressure on neighboring Pakistan to 
crack down on militant Islamic groups and in order to develop 
economic ties with Islamic countries like Iran. Continued 
provocations by Hindu extremist organizations could yet force a rift 
between the BJP and its allies or even within the BJP, which is 
divided over the temple issue.

However, the difficulty India's mainstream parties have had in 
maintaining a united opposition to the BJP's agenda, and the change 
in the international attitude toward civil liberties since September 
11, make it difficult to feel confident that Hindu fascism will be 
defeated. For this to happen, both centrist parties in the ruling 
coalition, and India's friends abroad, will need to recognize that 
what happened in Gujarat was not just another instance of religious 
communities in conflict. Rather, as Indian opposition leaders have 
charged, it was part of a broader tendency toward eliminating civil 
liberties and scapegoating cultural minorities in an aggressive 
effort to impose a unified sense of nationhood on one of the world's 
most culturally diverse societies.

Arun R Swamy is a fellow at the East-West Center in Honolulu, Hawaii.

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