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http://www.guardian.co.uk/comment/story/0,3604,806585,00.html

Inspection as invasion 

The US has been seeking to prevent a resolution of the
Iraq crisis for the past eight years

George Monbiot
Tuesday October 8, 2002
The Guardian

There is little that those of us who oppose the coming
war with Iraq can now do to prevent it. George Bush
has staked his credibility on the project; he has
mid-term elections to consider, oil supplies to secure
and a flagging war on terror to revive. Our voices are
as little heeded in the White House as the singing of
the birds. 

Our role is now, perhaps, confined to the modest but
necessary task of demonstrating the withdrawal of our
consent, while seeking to undermine the moral
confidence which could turn the attack on Iraq into a
war against all those states perceived to offend US
strategic interests. No task is more urgent than to
expose the two astonishing lies contained in George
Bush's radio address on Saturday, namely that "the
United States does not desire military conflict,
because we know the awful nature of war" and "we hope
that Iraq complies with the world's demands". Mr Bush
appears to have done everything in his power to
prevent Iraq from complying with the world's demands,
while ensuring that military conflict becomes
inevitable. 

On July 4 this year, Kofi Annan, the secretary-general
of the United Nations, began negotiating with Iraq
over the return of UN weapons inspectors. Iraq had
resisted UN inspections for three and a half years,
but now it felt the screw turning, and appeared to be
on the point of capitulation. On July 5, the Pentagon
leaked its war plan to the New York Times. The US, a
Pentagon official revealed, was preparing "a major air
campaign and land invasion" to "topple President
Saddam Hussein". The talks immediately collapsed. 

Ten days ago, they were about to resume. Hans Blix,
the head of the UN inspections body, was due to meet
Iraqi officials in Vienna, to discuss the
practicalities of re-entering the country. The US
airforce launched bombing raids on Basra, in southern
Iraq, destroying a radar system. As the Russian
government pointed out, the attack could scarcely have
been better designed to scupper the talks. But this
time the Iraqis, mindful of the consequences of
excluding the inspectors, kept talking. Last Tuesday,
they agreed to let the UN back in. The State
Department immediately announced, with more candour
than elegance, that it would "go into thwart mode". 

It wasn't bluffing. The following day, it leaked the
draft resolution on inspections it was placing before
the UN Security Council. This resembles nothing so
much as a plan for unopposed invasion. The decisions
about which sites should be "inspected" would no
longer be made by the UN alone, but also by "any
permanent member of the security council", such as the
United States. The people inspecting these sites could
also be chosen by the US, and they would enjoy
"unrestricted rights of entry into and out of Iraq"
and "the right to free, unrestricted and immediate
movement" within Iraq, "including unrestricted access
to presidential sites". They would be permitted to
establish "regional bases and operating bases
throughout Iraq", where they would be "accompanied...
by sufficient US security forces to protect them".
They would have the right to declare exclusion zones,
no-fly zones and "ground and air transit corridors".
They would be allowed to fly and land as many planes,
helicopters and surveillance drones in Iraq as they
want, to set up "encrypted communication" networks and
to seize "any equipment" they choose to lay hands on. 

The resolution, in other words, could not have failed
to remind Iraq of the alleged infiltration of the UN
team in 1996. Both the Iraqi government and the former
inspector Scott Ritter maintain that the weapons
inspectors were joined that year by CIA covert
operations specialists, who used the UN's special
access to collect information and encourage the
republican guard to launch a coup. On Thursday,
Britain and the United States instructed the weapons
inspectors not to enter Iraq until the new resolution
has been adopted. 

As Milan Rai's new book War Plan Iraq documents, the
US has been undermining disarmament for years. The
UN's principal means of persuasion was paragraph 22 of
the security council's resolution 687, which promised
that economic sanctions would be lifted once Iraq
ceased to possess weapons of mass destruction. But in
April 1994, Warren Christopher, the US secretary of
state, unilaterally withdrew this promise, removing
Iraq's main incentive to comply. Three years later his
successor, Madeleine Albright, insisted that sanctions
would not be lifted while Saddam remained in power. 

The US government maintains that Saddam Hussein
expelled the UN inspectors from Iraq in 1998, but this
is not true. On October 30 1998, the US rejected a new
UN proposal by again refusing to lift the oil embargo
if Iraq disarmed. On the following day, the Iraqi
government announced that it would cease to cooperate
with the inspectors. In fact it permitted them to
continue working, and over the next six weeks they
completed around 300 operations. 

On December 14, Richard Butler, the head of the
inspection team, published a curiously contradictory
report. The body of the report recorded that over the
past month "the majority of the inspections of
facilities and sites under the ongoing monitoring
system were carried out with Iraq's cooperation", but
his well-publicised conclusion was that "no progress"
had been made. Russia and China accused Butler of
bias. On December 15, the US ambassador to the UN
warned him that his team should leave Iraq for its own
safety. Butler pulled out, and on the following day
the US started bombing Iraq. 

>From that point on, Saddam Hussein refused to allow UN
inspectors to return. At the end of last year, Jose
Bustani, the head of the Organisation for the
Prohibition of Chemical Weapons, proposed a means of
resolving the crisis. His organisation had not been
involved in the messy business of 1998, so he offered
to send in his own inspectors, and complete the job
the UN had almost finished. The US responded by
demanding Bustani's dismissal. The other member states
agreed to depose him only after the United States
threatened to destroy the organisation if he stayed.
Now Hans Blix, the head of the new UN inspectorate,
may also be feeling the heat. On Tuesday he insisted
that he would take his orders only from the security
council. On Thursday, after an hour-long meeting with
US officials, he agreed with the Americans that there
should be no inspections until a new resolution had
been approved. 

For the past eight years the US, with Britain's help,
appears to have been seeking to prevent a resolution
of the crisis in Iraq. It is almost as if Iraq has
been kept on ice, as a necessary enemy to be warmed up
whenever the occasion demands. Today, as the economy
slides and Bin Laden's latest mocking message suggests
that the war on terrorism has so far failed, an enemy
which can be located and bombed is more necessary than
ever. A just war can be pursued only when all peaceful
means have been exhausted. In this case, the peaceful
means have been averted.

� www.monbiot.com 


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