http://en.fondsk.ru/article.php?id=2584


Strategic Culture Foundation
November 16, 2009


Balkan Shadow of Berlin Celebration
Pyotr Iskenderov



-Berlin's influence prevailed, and German advisers managed to convince their 
Croatian protégées to act resolutely. On May 19, 1991 the Croatian 
administration held a referendum with over 94% of those who went to the polling 
booths opting for immediate secession....Soon Sarajevo followed suit, massive 
fighting swept across the Balkans, NATO got the desired pretext for 
intervention, and Germany emerged as the key force in the new European 
geopolitical architecture. 
Praising German unification, we should not forget how the fall of the Berlin 
Wall cast a shadow over other countries and their peoples.


The celebration of the 20th anniversary of the fall of the Berlin Wall is over. 
Several high-ranking foreign visitors, many of whom had nothing to do with the 
historical development at the time it took place, spoke about the enormous 
importance of German unification and the symbolic significance of the event 
which put the final dot in the history of the Cold War. 

The truth, however, is that there are parts of Europe where the fall of the 
Berlin Wall is not regarded as a totally positive change since immediately upon 
the alleged completion of the bloodless Cold War Europe had to face a 
proliferation of real armed conflicts. 

The widely held view is that the 1989 German unification opened the era of the 
demise of totalitarian regimes across the continent and ultimately made the 
creation of a united Europe possible. 

Numerous private conversations with the residents of the Balkans actually led 
me to a different conclusion. The disintegration of Yugoslavia — a process that 
cost thousands of lives - commenced only a year after the demolition of the 
Berlin Wall. Notably, unified and extremely powerful Germany was one of its 
drivers. 

Germany was behind the urgent declaration of independence by Slovenia and 
Croatia, as well as behind their snap recognition by the international 
community regardless of the fact that the latter clearly lacked a viable model 
of coexistence for its Serbian and Croatian populations. Besides, the origin of 
the ethnic conflict that erupted in Bosnia and Herzegovina in the spring of 
1992 can only be grasped if the activity of outside forces is taken into 
account. 

Why did Germany, a country just rebuilt after the traumatic partition imposed 
on it after World War II, take the active role in the Balkan geopolitical 
overhaul? Napoleon used to say that every nation's politics stems from its 
geography. The concept applies perfectly to the late 1980s—early 1990s 
situation in Europe on the whole and in the Balkans in particular. 

It should be realized that following the collapse of the eastern bloc and the 
unification of the two Germanies, Berlin saw itself as the strongest player in 
Europe and actively sought European leadership over which it traditionally 
competed with France. 

US military bases that Germany continued to host in the framework of its 
international obligations after the withdrawal of the Soviet forces presented 
the main obstacle in the way of the country's aspirations. 

There were indications that Germany hoped to have the problem resolved by 
shifting the bases to the Balkans, where their existence could be based not on 
Soviet-era international agreements but on a NATO mandate, and where Germany 
could be guaranteed a place among the key players. 

What was needed to make the plan materialize was a serious pretext for the 
Balkan expansion, and a process including the break-up of Yugoslavia and the 
emergence of several protracted ethnic conflicts spread over its former 
territory conveniently provided one. 

The implementation of the scenario began in Slovenia and Croatia, where, due to 
historic reasons, the German influence was deeply rooted. Already in the 1980s 
the German intelligence service had strong positions in Slovenia and especially 
in Croatia as various émigré nationalist and extremist groups it sponsored 
gradually made inroads into the administrations. 

German advisers and NGO envoys flocked to Croatia in large numbers in 
1989-1990. It was due to their activity that eventually the republic became the 
scene of the first armed clashes in the former Yugoslavia, which scared even 
the no less active US representatives. 

In May, 1990 Croatia's First President Franjo Tudman introduced a new 
constitution (put together largely under German advisers' supervision) via the 
parliament dominated by pro-independence forces. 

It proclaimed that Croatia was a national state of the Croats and other peoples 
inhabiting it rather than, as formulated previously, a state of the Croatian 
and Serbian peoples as well as of others inhabiting it. 

The legal subtlety automatically left Serbs who used to be a state-forming 
nation in the position of a minority. Discontented with the downgrade, Serbs 
launched a referendum of their own in August 1990, during which, however, their 
response was limited to asserting their right to sovereignty and autonomy 
within Croatia. Secession was not on the agenda, but the Croatian government 
nevertheless resorted to force to prevent the referendum from taking place, and 
the moment marked the onset of the armed conflict in the republic. 

Serbs of Croatia offered a political solution even after the incident. On 
September 30, 1990 the Serbian National Council proclaimed the autonomy of the 
Serbian people on the ethnic and historical territories they inhabited within 
Croatia as a member of Yugoslavia, but Zagreb's course agreed with German 
advisers remained unchanged. 

The new Croatian constitution entered into force on December 22, and the very 
next day neighboring Slovenia called an independence referendum during which 
94% of the ballots were cast in favor of separation from Yugoslavia. 

Interestingly, over the weeks preceding the enactment of Tudman's constitution 
Washington kept calling the Croatian leaders to exercise restraint and to avoid 
steps prone with an armed escalation. 

Still, Berlin's influence prevailed, and German advisers managed to convince 
their Croatian protégées to act resolutely. On May 19, 1991 the Croatian 
administration held a referendum with over 94% of those who went to the polling 
booths opting for immediate secession. The Serbs of Croatia did not attend, and 
Germany, assisted by the Vatican, promptly ensured the European recognition of 
the two new independent countries. Soon Sarajevo followed suit, massive 
fighting swept across the Balkans, NATO got the desired pretext for 
intervention, and Germany emerged as the key force in the new European 
geopolitical architecture. 

Praising German unification, we should not forget how the fall of the Berlin 
Wall cast a shadow over other countries and their peoples.
===========================
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