http://www.today.az/news/politics/61199.html


Today.AZ
February 9, 2010


Azerbaijani political expert: U.S. may be interested in “blitzkrieg” in Karabakh
Z. Ahmadov


-As to the United States, it has advanced the idea of creating a "Greater 
Middle East" from Baghdad to Karachi. Theoretically, it may be interested in a 
"blitzkrieg" in Karabakh. The South Caucasus and the Caspian Sea basin play a 
very important role in U.S. plans of a "Greater Middle East", and the U.S. may 
be interested in the violation of the existing status quo in the 
Caucasus....The United States knows very well that the power which will control 
energy flows from East to West will rule the modern world. That is why, on the 
one hand, Azerbaijan’s significance is great, but on the other hand, in some 
circumstances the U.S. might be interested in some "blitzkrieg" in Karabakh.

 
Day.Az interview with Azerbaijani political expert Rasim Agayev.


In your opinion, how great is the possibility of resumed military action in 
Nagorno-Karabakh?

I do not see a situation that could prompt the parties to resolve the 
territorial dispute by force. Such a solution to the conflict is not favorable 
for Armenia, because it has occupied 20 percent of Azerbaijan’s territory. 

As for Azerbaijan, I think that Azerbaijan will not start the war. Although 
Azerbaijan makes such statements from time to time, I think that they are aimed 
mostly at the powers whom Azerbaijan calls for stronger action to resolve the 
Karabakh conflict. I think that the recent statement by U.S. National 
Intelligence was associated with this.

I believe external forces may be interested in a war in Nagorno-Karabakh. 
Russia does not need it at the moment, because it has somewhat damaged its 
credibility after the war with Georgia, but on the other hand it already has 
high influence in our region. The EU does not want war, too, because it does 
not support a military solution. 

As to the United States, it has advanced the idea of creating a "Greater Middle 
East" from Baghdad to Karachi. Theoretically, it may be interested in a 
"blitzkrieg" in Karabakh. The South Caucasus and the Caspian Sea basin play a 
very important role in U.S. plans of a "Greater Middle East", and the U.S. may 
be interested in the violation of the existing status quo in the Caucasus.

In this case, Armenia is out of the game, because important energy flows bypass 
this country. Azerbaijan, in turn, is in such an important geopolitical 
position that not only the fate of the South Caucasus, but also of Central Asia 
depends on it. 

The United States knows very well that the power which will control energy 
flows from East to West will rule the modern world. That is why, on the one 
hand, Azerbaijan’s significance is great, but on the other hand, in some 
circumstances the U.S. might be interested in some "blitzkrieg" in Karabakh.

Another reason for an escalation of the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict can be 
external destabilizing facts in neighboring countries such as Iran. This could 
potentially lead to the most unexpected consequences in our region. 
....
Lately,  Turkey has become some sort of secular and democratic leader of the 
Muslim world. Given the complex situation around the Iran’s nuclear program and 
U.S. problems with the Muslim world, I believe recognition of the “Armenian 
genocide” will be a good solution. 
===========================
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