CDC:
Swine flu has sickened 22 million in 6 months
http://disc.yourwebapps.com/discussion.cgi?disc=149495;article=127320;
_Some
98,000 people have been hospitalized from this
new flu or its
complications, including 36,000 children,
53,000 adults younger than 65
and 9,000 older adults.
CDC: Swine flu has sickened 22 million in 6 months
The Associated Press - Lauran Neergaard - 33 minutes ago
Thursday's
report attempts to calculate the first six months of the new
H1N1
strain's spread, from April through mid-October.
The CDC said: _Some
98000 ...
Results
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CDC: Swine flu has sickened 22 million in 6 months
By LAURAN NEERGAARD (AP) –
WASHINGTON
— Swine flu has sickened about 22 million Americans since April and
killed nearly 4,000, including 540 children, say startling federal
estimates released Thursday.
The figures — a quadrupling of
previous death estimates — don't mean swine flu
suddenly has worsened,
and most cases still don't require a doctor's care. Instead, the
numbers are a long-awaited better attempt to quantify the new flu's
true toll.
"I am expecting all of these numbers, unfortunately,
to continue to rise," said Dr. Anne Schuchat of the Centers for Disease
Control and Prevention. "We have a long flu season ahead of us."
And
tight supplies of vaccine to combat the illness continue: Not quite 42
million doses are currently available, a few million less than CDC had
predicted last week.
A new Associated Press-GfK poll shows
nearly one in six parents has gotten at least some of their children
vaccinated against swine flu since inoculations began last month.
Another 14 percent of parents sought vaccine, but couldn't find any.
Only
about 30 percent of children routinely get flu vaccinations during a
normal winter. That even this many have gotten vaccinated against the
new flu that scientists call the 2009 H1N1 strain despite the shortage
suggests CDC's target-the-young message has gotten through.
But three times as many adults have tried and failed to find
vaccine for themselves as have succeeded.
"I
know they're trying their hardest," Joy McGavin of Pittston, Pa., said
of the CDC's vaccine efforts. She hasn't yet found vaccine for her
three children despite a persistent hunt — even though she and her
youngest child are at extra risk because of chronic illnesses.
"But it is kind of frustrating, being as my children's school
already shut down" because of a big outbreak, McGavin said.
And interest among the young adults who also are at high risk is
waning fast, found the AP-GfK poll of 1,006 adults nationwide.
Thursday, Schuchat again urged patience in seeking vaccine.
"It's a marathon and not a sprint," she said. "More vaccine is
being ordered and delivered and used every day."
Until
now, the CDC has conservatively estimated more than 1,000 deaths and
"many millions" of new H1N1 infections. The agency was devoting more
time to battling the pandemic than to counting it, and earlier figures
were based on laboratory-confirmed cases even as doctors largely quit
using flu tests months ago — and experts knew that deaths from things
like the bacterial pneumonia that often follows flu were being missed.
Thursday's
report attempts to calculate the first six months of the new H1N1
strain's spread, from April through mid-October. The CDC said:
_Some
98,000 people have been hospitalized from this new flu or its
complications, including 36,000 children, 53,000 adults younger than 65
and 9,000 older adults.
_Deaths could range from a low of 2,500 to as many as 6,100,
depending on how the data's analyzed.
_Some 8 million children have become ill, 12 million adults
younger than 65 and 2 million older adults.
The
estimate of child deaths may seem especially surprising, considering
the CDC's conservative count of lab-confirmed deaths a week ago was 129.
"We
don't think things have changed from last week to this week," Schuchat
stressed, explaining the importance of looking beyond those lab counts.
It's "a better estimate for the big picture of what's out there."
The question now is what effect those estimates will have on a
public that largely views swine flu as not that big a threat.
The
AP-GfK poll, conducted last weekend, found just 23 percent of
responders — and 27 percent of parents — were very likely to keep
seeking vaccine.
Stephanie Hannon of Douglas, Mass., decided to
get a swine flu vaccine for just one of her three children, the one at
extra risk because of asthma. She's concerned that the swine flu
vaccine hasn't been studied long enough to justify for her less-at-risk
youngsters.
"Only because of my other daughter's condition, I
felt like I didn't have a choice," she said. "You never know if you
make the right decision."
Swine flu targets young adults, too,
yet just 16 percent of 18- to 29-year-olds were very likely to seek
vaccine, down from 34 percent in September.
The AP-GfK Poll was
conducted November 5-9 by GfK Roper Public Affairs and Media. It
involved landline and cell phone interviews with 1,006 adults
nationwide, and has a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 3.1
percentage points.
CDC: H1N1 Flu (Swine Flu)
Use of Tamiflu
and Relenza for treatment or prevention of H1N1 flu… ... Info about
CDC-requested & FDA-issued EUA drugs & devices… ... Swine Flu
Info ...
HTTP://www.cdc.gov/H1N1FLU/
2009 H1N1 Flu: Situation Update
November 6, 2009, 4:30 PM ET
http://www.cdc.gov/H1n1flu/update.htm
Map: Weekly Influenza Activity Estimates Reported by State and
Territorial Epidemiologists
(Activity levels indicate geographic spread of both seasonal and
2009 influenza A [H1N1] viruses)
(Posted November 6, 2009, 4:30 PM ET
http://www.cdc.gov/h1n1flu/updates/us/
Synopsis:
During week 43 (October 25-31, 2009), influenza activity remained
elevated in the U.S.
5,258
(37.2%) specimens tested by U.S. World Health Organization (WHO) and
National Respiratory and Enteric Virus Surveillance System (NREVSS)
collaborating laboratories and reported to CDC/Influenza Division were
positive for influenza.
Over 99% of all subtyped influenza A viruses being reported to CDC
were 2009 influenza A (H1N1) viruses.
The proportion of deaths attributed to pneumonia and influenza
(P&I) was above the epidemic threshold.
Eighteen
influenza-associated pediatric deaths were reported. Fifteen of these
deaths were associated with 2009 influenza A (H1N1) virus infection and
three were associated with an influenza A virus for which the subtype
was undetermined.
The proportion of outpatient visits for
influenza-like illness (ILI) was above the national baseline. All 10
regions reported ILI above region-specific baseline levels.
Forty-eight
states reported geographically widespread influenza activity, two
states reported regional influenza activity, the District of Columbia
reported local influenza activity; Puerto Rico and Guam reported
sporadic influenza activity, and the U.S. Virgin Islands did not report.
SEE FULL REPORT:>>
http://www.cdc.gov/flu/weekly/
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