Could this not be an opportunity? Maybe a private sponsor could set up the market? Fabio
On Tue, 29 Jul 2003, Robin Hanson wrote: > That sure looks like the likely outcome. We never really got a chance to > correct misconceptions about the project. (For example, it was never > intended to forecast specific terrorist attacks, but only overall > trends.) They didn't want to hear. > > At 01:10 PM 7/29/2003 -0400, [EMAIL PROTECTED]: > >More likely than not they'll say nothing and the story will quietly go > >away... conveniently relieving people like reporters and senators from the > >need to admit they spoke out about something they didn't have much, if > >any, comprehension of. > > > > > All of the criticism seems based on the betting on events, not on the > > > use of conditional markets for developing policy. Wonder what they'll say > > > when they figure that bit out.... > > > > > > > FYI, our DARPA project (www.policyanalysismarket.com) has just been > > denounced > > > > by two senators: > > http://wyden.senate.gov/media/2003/07282003_terrormarket.html > > > Robin Hanson [EMAIL PROTECTED] http://hanson.gmu.edu > Assistant Professor of Economics, George Mason University > MSN 1D3, Carow Hall, Fairfax VA 22030-4444 > 703-993-2326 FAX: 703-993-2323 > >
