WRT:
>http://www.lasvegassun.com/sunbin/stories/archives/2000/nov/10/511018638.html 

I'm surprised that the LV Sun doesn't get this issue. There is no surprise in the fact 
that the errors are non-random. The recounts were in heavily democratic counties where 
punch ballots were used. A small (but large in the context of this election) fraction 
of punch card ballots don't get punchced all the way through. When these are run 
through the machines some of the incomplete punches fall out. Thus the statistically 
significant trend towards Gore. 

Wouldn't a recount of the entire state including Republican counties equalize the 
benefits of the hanging chads? From what I have been told -- and the most likely 
reason why Mr Bush turned down Mr. Gore's offer last night --  the punch card ballots 
were used disproportionately in Democratic counties so a full hand recount of all the 
votes will probably pick up a lot more Gore than bush ballots with partial punches.   
-- Bill Dickens




William T. Dickens
The Brookings Institution
1775 Massachusetts Avenue, NW
Washington, DC 20036
Phone: (202) 797-6113
FAX:     (202) 797-6181
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